Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Maghreb Fès vs Wydad AC — Botola Pro 2025

Maghreb Fès
Maghreb Fès
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Wydad AC
Wydad AC
4/12/2026Botola ProBotola Pro · Round 12

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 90+ matches

Maghreb Fès35%
×Draw30%
Wydad AC35%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Maghreb Fès
1.06
Wydad AC
1.07

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 90 home / 120 away

creates per match

Maghreb Fès
1.16
Wydad AC
1.32

allows per match

Maghreb Fès
0.82
Wydad AC
0.96

finishing

Maghreb Fès+0.00on par
Wydad AC+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Under
  • Under64
  • Over36

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

57%No
  • No57
  • Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Maghreb Fès ↓

Wydad AC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–113%
0–27%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–013%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–17%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
63%37%2.5
36%64%3.5
17%83%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Maghreb Fès or draw
65%
Maghreb Fès or Wydad AC
70%
Draw or Wydad AC
65%

Winning margin

Maghreb Fès wins by 2+
14%
Wydad AC wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Maghreb Fès 1+ goals
65%
Maghreb Fès 2+ goals
29%
Maghreb Fès 3+ goals
9%
Wydad AC 1+ goals
66%
Wydad AC 2+ goals
29%
Wydad AC 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Maghreb Fès (draw refunded)
50%
Wydad AC (draw refunded)
50%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
29%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Maghreb Fès at home — creates 1.16, concedes 0.82 · 90 matches

Wydad AC away — creates 1.32, concedes 0.96 · 120 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Maghreb Fès attack 1.16 + Wydad AC defence 0.96 → ÷2 → 1.06

Wydad AC attack 1.32 + Maghreb Fès defence 0.82 → ÷2 → 1.07

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 35%?"

Maghreb Fès scores more
35%
level
30%
Wydad AC scores more
35%

Maghreb Fès at 35% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 35% does not mean "Maghreb Fès will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Maghreb Fès 1 – 0 Wydad AC

Maghreb Fès beat Wydad AC 1-0 in Botola Pro on April 12, 2026.