Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Magallanes vs Deportes Temuco — Primera B 2026

Magallanes
Magallanes
FT
2 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Deportes Temuco
Deportes Temuco
9/13/2025Primera BPrimera B · Round 25Estadio Santiago Bueras

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 103+ matches

Magallanes46%
×Draw27%
Deportes Temuco27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Magallanes
1.42
Deportes Temuco
1.02

Magallanes creates 39% more chances

Season form · 103 home / 120 away

creates per match

Magallanes
1.50
Deportes Temuco
1.07

allows per match

Magallanes
0.97
Deportes Temuco
1.33

finishing

Magallanes+0.00on par
Deportes Temuco+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Under
  • Under56
  • Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

52%No
  • No52
  • Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Magallanes ↓

Deportes Temuco →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–19%
0–25%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
70%30%2.5
44%56%3.5
23%77%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Magallanes or draw
73%
Magallanes or Deportes Temuco
73%
Draw or Deportes Temuco
54%

Winning margin

Magallanes wins by 2+
22%
Deportes Temuco wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Magallanes 1+ goals
76%
Magallanes 2+ goals
41%
Magallanes 3+ goals
17%
Deportes Temuco 1+ goals
64%
Deportes Temuco 2+ goals
27%
Deportes Temuco 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Magallanes (draw refunded)
63%
Deportes Temuco (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
36%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Magallanes at home — creates 1.50, concedes 0.97 · 103 matches

Deportes Temuco away — creates 1.07, concedes 1.33 · 120 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Magallanes attack 1.50 + Deportes Temuco defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.42

Deportes Temuco attack 1.07 + Magallanes defence 0.97 → ÷2 → 1.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Magallanes scores more
46%
level
27%
Deportes Temuco scores more
27%

Magallanes at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Magallanes will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Magallanes vs Deportes Temuco

Magallanes beat Deportes Temuco 2-0 in Primera B on September 13, 2025.

The match was played at Estadio Santiago Bueras in Santiago de Chile.