Macara 0–0 Delfin SC: Result & Stats | Liga Pro

Macara

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Delfin SC

8/10/2025

Liga Pro · Round 24Estadio Bellavista

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 32+ matches

Macara54%

×Draw27%

Delfin SC20%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

MacaraExpected goals in this matchDelfin SC

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.46

0.77

Macara

1.46

Delfin SC

0.77

Macara creates 90% more chances

Season form · 32 home / 33 away

1.09

creates per match

0.61

0.94

allows per match

1.82

creates per match

Macara

1.09

Delfin SC

0.61

allows per match

Macara

0.94

Delfin SC

1.82

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Macara+0.00on par

Delfin SC+0.00on par

Total goals

Under62
Over38

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No59
Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Macara ↓

Delfin SC →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–011%

0–18%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–016%

1–112%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–011%

2–19%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–14%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

89%11%1.5

65%35%2.5

38%62%3.5

19%81%4.5

8%92%

Double chance

Macara or draw

80%

Macara or Delfin SC

73%

Draw or Delfin SC

46%

Winning margin

Macara wins by 2+

27%

Delfin SC wins by 2+

6%

Team goals

Macara 1+ goals

77%

Macara 2+ goals

43%

Macara 3+ goals

18%

Delfin SC 1+ goals

54%

Delfin SC 2+ goals

18%

Delfin SC 3+ goals

4%

Draw no bet

Macara (draw refunded)

73%

Delfin SC (draw refunded)

27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

29%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Macara at home — creates 1.09, concedes 0.94 · 32 matches

Delfin SC away — creates 0.61, concedes 1.82 · 33 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Macara attack 1.09 + Delfin SC defence 1.82 → ÷2 → 1.46

Delfin SC attack 0.61 + Macara defence 0.94 → ÷2 → 0.77

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Macara scores more

54%

level

27%

Delfin SC scores more

20%

Macara at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Macara will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

25

E. Cabeza

Delfin SC · D

7.6

Match Events

15'

Leonar Espinoza

21'

M. Reyes← J. Nazareno

46'

M. Tello← G. Blanc

46'

J. Morales← J. Mohor

61'

H. Batalla← E. Mendoza

64'

M. Juambeltz← M. Viera

74'

A. Chere← P. Gonzalez

77'

O. Fernandez← J. Perez Tica

78'

J. Vivar← J. Leon

84'

Luis Castro

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

MacaraDelfin

Overview

59%Possession41%

16Total Shots5

1.14Expected Goals (xG)0.19

5Corners1

12Fouls15

Shots

16Total Shots5

4On Target1

7Off Target3

5Blocked1

7Inside Box1

9Outside Box4

Passing

59%Possession41%

389Total Passes289

291Accurate Passes189

75%Pass Accuracy65%

Goalkeeping

1Saves4

Discipline

12Fouls15

1Yellow Cards1

6Offsides4