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Lysekloster vs Fana — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Lysekloster
Lysekloster
FT
1 – 2
HT: 0 – 1
Fana
Fana
E. Brattreit 59'
Unknown 50', 3'
2/7/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Lysekloster49%
×Draw22%
Fana28%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Lysekloster
1.89
Fana
1.39

Lysekloster creates 36% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 3 away

creates per match

Lysekloster
1.78
Fana
1.00

allows per match

Lysekloster
1.78
Fana
2.00

finishing

Lysekloster+0.00on par
Fana+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

64%Yes
  • Yes64
  • No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Lysekloster ↓

Fana →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–110%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
41%59%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Lysekloster or draw
72%
Lysekloster or Fana
78%
Draw or Fana
51%

Winning margin

Lysekloster wins by 2+
27%
Fana wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Lysekloster 1+ goals
85%
Lysekloster 2+ goals
56%
Lysekloster 3+ goals
29%
Fana 1+ goals
75%
Fana 2+ goals
40%
Fana 3+ goals
16%

Draw no bet

Lysekloster (draw refunded)
63%
Fana (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
54%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Lysekloster at home — creates 1.78, concedes 1.78 · 9 matches

Fana away — creates 1.00, concedes 2.00 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Lysekloster attack 1.78 + Fana defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.89

Fana attack 1.00 + Lysekloster defence 1.78 → ÷2 → 1.39

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Lysekloster scores more
49%
level
22%
Fana scores more
28%

Lysekloster at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Lysekloster will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

3'
50'
59'
E. Brattreit

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Lysekloster vs Fana

Fana beat Lysekloster 2-1 in Friendlies Clubs on February 7, 2026.

Goals: ? (3', 50'), E. Brattreit (59').