Lyon 2–0 Angers: Result & Stats | Ligue 1

Lyon

FT

2 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Angers

A. Lacazette 72', 55' (pen)

5/17/2025

Ligue 1 · Round 34Groupama Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 21+ matches

Lyon55%

×Draw23%

Angers22%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

LyonExpected goals in this matchAngers

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.81

1.04

Lyon

1.81

Angers

1.04

Lyon creates 74% more chances

Season form · 23 home / 21 away

1.84

creates per match

0.86

1.23

allows per match

1.79

creates per match

Lyon

1.84

Angers

0.86

allows per match

Lyon

1.23

Angers

1.79

-0.19scores less than expected

finishing

-0.29scores less than expected

finishing

Lyon-0.19scores less

Angers-0.29scores less

Total goals

Over54
Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes54
No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Lyon ↓

Angers →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–16%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–010%

1–111%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–010%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–16%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–13%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

78%22%2.5

54%46%3.5

32%68%4.5

16%84%

Double chance

Lyon or draw

78%

Lyon or Angers

77%

Draw or Angers

45%

Winning margin

Lyon wins by 2+

31%

Angers wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Lyon 1+ goals

84%

Lyon 2+ goals

54%

Lyon 3+ goals

27%

Angers 1+ goals

65%

Angers 2+ goals

28%

Angers 3+ goals

9%

Draw no bet

Lyon (draw refunded)

72%

Angers (draw refunded)

28%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

43%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Lyon at home — creates 1.84, concedes 1.23 · 23 matches

Angers away — creates 0.86, concedes 1.79 · 21 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Lyon attack 1.84 + Angers defence 1.79 → ÷2 → 1.81

Angers attack 0.86 + Lyon defence 1.23 → ÷2 → 1.04

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Lyon scores more

55%

level

23%

Angers scores more

22%

Lyon at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Lyon will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

18

R. Cherki

Lyon · M

8.3

Match Events

12'

Jordan Lefort

25'

Duje Ćaleta-Car

55'

A. LacazettePenalty

58'

Lilian Raolisoa

62'

E. Caumont← Z. Ould Khaled

62'

F. El Melali← J. Ekomié

69'

N. Matić← T. Tessmann

72'

A. Lacazette↳ R. Cherki

73'

E. Biumla← O. Camara

78'

C. Tolisso← T. Almada

79'

G. Mikautadze← A. Lacazette

84'

L. Machine← L. Raolisoa

84'

P. Peter← E. Lepaul

89'

T. Barišić← D. Ćaleta-Car

90+1'

Enzo Caumont

90'

Abner← R. Cherki

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

LyonAngers

Overview

57%Possession43%

21Total Shots13

3.95Expected Goals (xG)0.50

8Corners8

10Fouls13

Shots

21Total Shots13

4On Target3

11Off Target3

6Blocked7

13Inside Box7

8Outside Box6

Passing

57%Possession43%

488Total Passes359

438Accurate Passes308

90%Pass Accuracy86%

Goalkeeping

3Saves2

0.40Goals Prevented0.40

Discipline

10Fouls13

1Yellow Cards3

1Offsides0

Ligue 1: Lyon 2–0 Angers

Lyon beat Angers 2-0 in Ligue 1 on May 17, 2025.

Goals: A. Lacazette (55' pen, 72').

Lyon controlled possession (57%) and registered 21 shots to 13.

The match was played at Groupama Stadium in Décines-Charpieu.

Lyon vs Angers — Ligue 1 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Ligue 1: Lyon 2–0 Angers