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Lyn vs ODD Ballklubb — 1. Division 2026

Lyn
Lyn
Preview
14:00
ODD Ballklubb
ODD Ballklubb
8/15/20261. Division1. Division · Round 18
42%
Lyn
model favours
42%24%34%

Both teams score in 92% of ODD Ballklubb’s matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
58%
over 2.5 goals
61%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 21+ matches

Lyn42%
×Draw24%
ODD Ballklubb34%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Lyn
1.62
ODD Ballklubb
1.42

Lyn creates 14% more chances

Season form · 38 home / 21 away

creates per match

Lyn
1.53
ODD Ballklubb
1.33

allows per match

Lyn
1.50
ODD Ballklubb
1.71

finishing

Lyn+0.00on par
ODD Ballklubb+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 58Under: 4258%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 61No: 3961%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Lyn ↓

ODD Ballklubb →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–17%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
58%42%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Lyn or draw
66%
Lyn or ODD Ballklubb
76%
Draw or ODD Ballklubb
58%

Winning margin

Lyn wins by 2+
21%
ODD Ballklubb wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Lyn 1+ goals
80%
Lyn 2+ goals
48%
Lyn 3+ goals
22%
ODD Ballklubb 1+ goals
76%
ODD Ballklubb 2+ goals
41%
ODD Ballklubb 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Lyn (draw refunded)
56%
ODD Ballklubb (draw refunded)
44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Lyn at home — creates 1.53, concedes 1.50 · 38 matches

ODD Ballklubb away — creates 1.33, concedes 1.71 · 21 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Lyn attack 1.53 + ODD Ballklubb defence 1.71 → ÷2 → 1.62

ODD Ballklubb attack 1.33 + Lyn defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.42

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Lyn scores more
42%
level
24%
ODD Ballklubb scores more
34%

Lyn at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Lyn will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both sides lean high-scoring (71% and 77% over 2.5)
  • 77% of ODD Ballklubb’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • ODD Ballklubb score first in only 31% of matches
  • 71% of Lyn’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • ODD Ballklubb have won 3 of the last 4 meetings
  • Lyn win just 30% against the top half (vs 56% against the bottom)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Lyn
WLLLL
Ballklubb
LDDLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Lyn host ODD Ballklubb

August 15, 2026: Lyn take on ODD Ballklubb in 1. Division. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.