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Lustenau / Dornbirn W vs Rheindorf Altach W — Frauenliga 2019

Lustenau / Dornbirn W
Lustenau / Dornbirn W
FT
0 – 6
HT: 0 – 3
Rheindorf Altach W
Rheindorf Altach W
5/11/2025FrauenligaFrauenliga · Relegation Round - 5Sparkasse Arena Birkenwiese

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 20+ matches

Lustenau / Dornbirn W24%
×Draw24%
Rheindorf Altach W52%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Lustenau / Dornbirn W
1.08
Rheindorf Altach W
1.71

Rheindorf Altach W creates 58% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 22 away

creates per match

Lustenau / Dornbirn W
0.90
Rheindorf Altach W
1.36

allows per match

Lustenau / Dornbirn W
2.05
Rheindorf Altach W
1.27

finishing

Lustenau / Dornbirn W+0.00on par
Rheindorf Altach W+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Over
  • Over53
  • Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Lustenau / Dornbirn W ↓

Rheindorf Altach W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–111%
0–29%
0–35%
0–42%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–210%
1–36%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–16%
2–25%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
77%23%2.5
53%47%3.5
30%70%4.5
15%85%

Double chance

Lustenau / Dornbirn W or draw
48%
Lustenau / Dornbirn W or Rheindorf Altach W
76%
Draw or Rheindorf Altach W
76%

Winning margin

Lustenau / Dornbirn W wins by 2+
9%
Rheindorf Altach W wins by 2+
28%

Team goals

Lustenau / Dornbirn W 1+ goals
66%
Lustenau / Dornbirn W 2+ goals
29%
Lustenau / Dornbirn W 3+ goals
10%
Rheindorf Altach W 1+ goals
82%
Rheindorf Altach W 2+ goals
51%
Rheindorf Altach W 3+ goals
24%

Draw no bet

Lustenau / Dornbirn W (draw refunded)
32%
Rheindorf Altach W (draw refunded)
68%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Lustenau / Dornbirn W at home — creates 0.90, concedes 2.05 · 20 matches

Rheindorf Altach W away — creates 1.36, concedes 1.27 · 22 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Lustenau / Dornbirn W attack 0.90 + Rheindorf Altach W defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.08

Rheindorf Altach W attack 1.36 + Lustenau / Dornbirn W defence 2.05 → ÷2 → 1.71

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Lustenau / Dornbirn W scores more
24%
level
24%
Rheindorf Altach W scores more
52%

Rheindorf Altach W at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Rheindorf Altach W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Lustenau / Dornbirn W vs Rheindorf Altach W

Rheindorf Altach W beat Lustenau / Dornbirn W 6-0 in Frauenliga on May 11, 2025.

The match was played at Sparkasse Arena Birkenwiese in Dornbirn.