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Lüneburger SK Hansa vs FC Lok Stendal — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Lüneburger SK Hansa
Lüneburger SK Hansa
FT
4 – 0
FC Lok Stendal
FC Lok Stendal
7/18/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Lüneburger SK Hansa78%
×Draw14%
FC Lok Stendal8%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Lüneburger SK Hansa
2.77
FC Lok Stendal
0.80

Lüneburger SK Hansa creates 246% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 3 away

creates per match

Lüneburger SK Hansa
2.20
FC Lok Stendal
0.00

allows per match

Lüneburger SK Hansa
1.60
FC Lok Stendal
3.33

finishing

Lüneburger SK Hansa+0.00on par
FC Lok Stendal+0.00on par

Total goals

68%Over
  • Over68
  • Under32

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

52%Yes
  • Yes52
  • No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Lüneburger SK Hansa ↓

FC Lok Stendal →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–12%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–16%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–010%
3–18%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–07%
4–16%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (11%) · grid covers 87% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
68%32%3.5
47%53%4.5
27%73%

Double chance

Lüneburger SK Hansa or draw
92%
Lüneburger SK Hansa or FC Lok Stendal
86%
Draw or FC Lok Stendal
22%

Winning margin

Lüneburger SK Hansa wins by 2+
57%
FC Lok Stendal wins by 2+
2%

Team goals

Lüneburger SK Hansa 1+ goals
94%
Lüneburger SK Hansa 2+ goals
76%
Lüneburger SK Hansa 3+ goals
51%
FC Lok Stendal 1+ goals
55%
FC Lok Stendal 2+ goals
19%
FC Lok Stendal 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Lüneburger SK Hansa (draw refunded)
90%
FC Lok Stendal (draw refunded)
10%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
45%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Lüneburger SK Hansa at home — creates 2.20, concedes 1.60 · 5 matches

FC Lok Stendal away — creates 0.00, concedes 3.33 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Lüneburger SK Hansa attack 2.20 + FC Lok Stendal defence 3.33 → ÷2 → 2.77

FC Lok Stendal attack 0.00 + Lüneburger SK Hansa defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 0.80

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 78%?"

Lüneburger SK Hansa scores more
78%
level
14%
FC Lok Stendal scores more
8%

Lüneburger SK Hansa at 78% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 78% does not mean "Lüneburger SK Hansa will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Lüneburger SK Hansa 4–0 FC Lok Stendal

Lüneburger SK Hansa beat FC Lok Stendal 4-0 in Friendlies Clubs on July 18, 2026.