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LSK Kvinner W vs Vålerenga W — Toppserien 2021

LSK Kvinner W
LSK Kvinner W
Preview
13:00
Vålerenga W
Vålerenga W
10/17/2026ToppserienToppserien · Round 19LKS-Hallen
Big match
48%
Vålerenga W
model favours
29%23%48%

Vålerenga W score first in only 10% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
61%
over 2.5 goals
62%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 63+ matches

LSK Kvinner W29%
×Draw23%
Vålerenga W48%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

LSK Kvinner W
1.35
Vålerenga W
1.81

Vålerenga W creates 34% more chances

Season form · 63 home / 65 away

creates per match

LSK Kvinner W
1.81
Vålerenga W
2.29

allows per match

LSK Kvinner W
1.33
Vålerenga W
0.89

finishing

LSK Kvinner W+0.00on par
Vålerenga W+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Over
  • Over61
  • Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

LSK Kvinner W ↓

Vålerenga W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–18%
0–27%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–06%
1–110%
1–29%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–26%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
61%39%3.5
39%61%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

LSK Kvinner W or draw
52%
LSK Kvinner W or Vålerenga W
77%
Draw or Vålerenga W
71%

Winning margin

LSK Kvinner W wins by 2+
12%
Vålerenga W wins by 2+
26%

Team goals

LSK Kvinner W 1+ goals
74%
LSK Kvinner W 2+ goals
39%
LSK Kvinner W 3+ goals
15%
Vålerenga W 1+ goals
84%
Vålerenga W 2+ goals
54%
Vålerenga W 3+ goals
27%

Draw no bet

LSK Kvinner W (draw refunded)
37%
Vålerenga W (draw refunded)
63%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

LSK Kvinner W at home — creates 1.81, concedes 1.33 · 63 matches

Vålerenga W away — creates 2.29, concedes 0.89 · 65 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

LSK Kvinner W attack 1.81 + Vålerenga W defence 0.89 → ÷2 → 1.35

Vålerenga W attack 2.29 + LSK Kvinner W defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.81

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

LSK Kvinner W scores more
29%
level
23%
Vålerenga W scores more
48%

Vålerenga W at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Vålerenga W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • 90% of Vålerenga W’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Both sides lean high-scoring (73% and 90% over 2.5)
  • LSK Kvinner W score first in only 18% of matches
  • 73% of LSK Kvinner W’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Vålerenga W have won 7 of the last 10 meetings
  • Both teams score in 70% of Vålerenga W’s matches

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
W
DLWWW
W
LLLWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: LSK Kvinner W host Vålerenga W

October 17, 2026: LSK Kvinner W take on Vålerenga W in Toppserien. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

LSK Kvinner W host Vålerenga W at LKS-Hallen.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.