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LSK Kvinner W vs Bodø / Glimt W — Toppserien 2021

LSK Kvinner W
LSK Kvinner W
Preview
11:00
Bodø / Glimt W
Bodø / Glimt W
8/29/2026ToppserienToppserien · Round 14LKS-Hallen
68%
LSK Kvinner W
model favours
68%18%15%

LSK Kvinner W score first in only 18% of matches

brightest fact of this match

2–1
likely score
68%
over 2.5 goals
60%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 20+ matches

LSK Kvinner W68%
×Draw18%
Bodø / Glimt W15%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

LSK Kvinner W
2.46
Bodø / Glimt W
1.06

LSK Kvinner W creates 132% more chances

Season form · 63 home / 20 away

creates per match

LSK Kvinner W
1.81
Bodø / Glimt W
0.80

allows per match

LSK Kvinner W
1.33
Bodø / Glimt W
3.10

finishing

LSK Kvinner W+0.00on par
Bodø / Glimt W+0.00on par

Total goals

68%Over
  • Over68
  • Under32

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

LSK Kvinner W ↓

Bodø / Glimt W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–07%
1–18%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–18%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–05%
4–15%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
68%32%3.5
46%54%4.5
27%73%

Double chance

LSK Kvinner W or draw
85%
LSK Kvinner W or Bodø / Glimt W
82%
Draw or Bodø / Glimt W
32%

Winning margin

LSK Kvinner W wins by 2+
45%
Bodø / Glimt W wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

LSK Kvinner W 1+ goals
91%
LSK Kvinner W 2+ goals
70%
LSK Kvinner W 3+ goals
44%
Bodø / Glimt W 1+ goals
65%
Bodø / Glimt W 2+ goals
29%
Bodø / Glimt W 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

LSK Kvinner W (draw refunded)
82%
Bodø / Glimt W (draw refunded)
18%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

LSK Kvinner W at home — creates 1.81, concedes 1.33 · 63 matches

Bodø / Glimt W away — creates 0.80, concedes 3.10 · 20 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

LSK Kvinner W attack 1.81 + Bodø / Glimt W defence 3.10 → ÷2 → 2.46

Bodø / Glimt W attack 0.80 + LSK Kvinner W defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.06

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 68%?"

LSK Kvinner W scores more
68%
level
18%
Bodø / Glimt W scores more
15%

LSK Kvinner W at 68% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 68% does not mean "LSK Kvinner W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Bodø / Glimt W score first in only 27% of matches
  • Both sides lean high-scoring (73% and 73% over 2.5)
  • LSK Kvinner W have won 4 of the last 4 meetings
  • 73% of LSK Kvinner W’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • 73% of Bodø / Glimt W’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Their last 4 meetings averaged 3.8 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
W
DLWWW
W
LLLLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

LSK Kvinner W face Bodø / Glimt W (Toppserien)

Toppserien returns with LSK Kvinner W hosting Bodø / Glimt W. Match starts August 29, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

LSK Kvinner W host Bodø / Glimt W at LKS-Hallen.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.