Los Andes vs Temperley — Primera Nacional 2026
Primera Nacional · Round 22Estadio Eduardo Gallardón (Lomas de Zamora, Provincia de Buenos Aires)Match Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 33+ matches
Los Andes43%
Temperley21%✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
Los Andes creates 66% more chances
Season form · 33 home / 38 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Under81
- Over19
Fewer than 3 goals likely
Both teams score
- No74
- Yes26
One side may not score
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
Los Andes ↓
Most likely 0–0 (23%) · grid covers 100% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
Los Andes at home — creates 1.06, concedes 0.55 · 33 matches
Temperley away — creates 0.58, concedes 0.79 · 38 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
Los Andes attack 1.06 + Temperley defence 0.79 → ÷2 → 0.93
Temperley attack 0.58 + Los Andes defence 0.55 → ÷2 → 0.56
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 43%?"
Los Andes at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 43% does not mean "Los Andes will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Match Events
Temperley substitutes
Deportivo Madryn
Atlanta
Tristan Suarez
Gimnasia Y Tiro
San Miguel
San Martin Tucuman
Deportivo Maipu
Patronato
Colegiales
All Boys
Racing Cordoba
Ferro Carril OesteLos Andes
Club Atlético Güemes
Quilmes
Almagro
Arsenal Sarandi
Alvarado
Gimnasia M.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
CA Estudiantes
Deportivo Moron
Gimnasia JujuyTemperley
Agropecuario
Chaco For Ever
Chacarita Juniors
Defensores De Belgrano
Nueva Chicago
San Telmo
Atletico Mitre
Almirante Brown
Central Norte
Colon Santa Fe
Talleres Remedios
Defensores UnidosIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Los Andes host Temperley on Saturday, 30 March 2019 at 16:05. The match is part of the Primera Nacional 2026/2027 season.
Los Andes 1 – 0 Temperley
Los Andes beat Temperley 1-0 in Primera Nacional on March 30, 2019.
Goals: M. Linas (28').
The match was played at Estadio Eduardo Gallardón (Lomas de Zamora, Provincia de Buenos Aires).