Long An 1–2 Bóng đá Huế: Result & Stats

Long An

FT

1 – 2

HT: 1 – 1

Bóng đá Huế

2/23/2025

V.League 2 · Round 10Sân vận động Long An

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 51+ matches

Long An48%

×Draw26%

Bóng đá Huế25%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Long AnExpected goals in this matchBóng đá Huế

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.46

0.98

Long An

1.46

Bóng đá Huế

0.98

Long An creates 49% more chances

Season form · 63 home / 51 away

1.33

creates per match

0.96

1.00

allows per match

1.59

creates per match

Long An

1.33

Bóng đá Huế

0.96

allows per match

Long An

1.00

Bóng đá Huế

1.59

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Long An+0.00on par

Bóng đá Huế+0.00on par

Total goals

Under56
Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No52
Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Long An ↓

Bóng đá Huế →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–19%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–112%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

70%30%2.5

44%56%3.5

23%77%4.5

10%90%

Double chance

Long An or draw

75%

Long An or Bóng đá Huế

74%

Draw or Bóng đá Huế

52%

Winning margin

Long An wins by 2+

24%

Bóng đá Huế wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Long An 1+ goals

77%

Long An 2+ goals

43%

Long An 3+ goals

18%

Bóng đá Huế 1+ goals

62%

Bóng đá Huế 2+ goals

26%

Bóng đá Huế 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Long An (draw refunded)

66%

Bóng đá Huế (draw refunded)

34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

35%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Long An at home — creates 1.33, concedes 1.00 · 63 matches

Bóng đá Huế away — creates 0.96, concedes 1.59 · 51 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Long An attack 1.33 + Bóng đá Huế defence 1.59 → ÷2 → 1.46

Bóng đá Huế attack 0.96 + Long An defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.98

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Long An scores more

48%

level

26%

Bóng đá Huế scores more

25%

Long An at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Long An will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff