Lokomotiv Oslo 2–1 Flint: Result & Stats

Lokomotiv Oslo

FT

2 – 1

HT: 1 – 1

Flint

6/7/2025

3. Division - Girone 6 · Group 6 - 9

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Lokomotiv Oslo56%

×Draw19%

Flint24%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Lokomotiv OsloExpected goals in this matchFlint

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.41

1.54

Lokomotiv Oslo

2.41

Flint

1.54

Lokomotiv Oslo creates 56% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 13 away

2.35

creates per match

1.69

1.40

allows per match

2.46

creates per match

Lokomotiv Oslo

2.35

Flint

1.69

allows per match

Lokomotiv Oslo

1.40

Flint

2.46

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Lokomotiv Oslo+0.00on par

Flint+0.00on par

Total goals

Over75
Under25

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes71
No29

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Lokomotiv Oslo ↓

Flint →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–13%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–05%

1–17%

1–26%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–17%

3–25%

3–33%

3–41%

4

4–03%

4–14%

4–23%

4–32%

4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

90%10%2.5

75%25%3.5

55%45%4.5

35%65%

Double chance

Lokomotiv Oslo or draw

76%

Lokomotiv Oslo or Flint

81%

Draw or Flint

44%

Winning margin

Lokomotiv Oslo wins by 2+

36%

Flint wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Lokomotiv Oslo 1+ goals

91%

Lokomotiv Oslo 2+ goals

69%

Lokomotiv Oslo 3+ goals

43%

Flint 1+ goals

79%

Flint 2+ goals

45%

Flint 3+ goals

20%

Draw no bet

Lokomotiv Oslo (draw refunded)

70%

Flint (draw refunded)

30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

64%

Both score & under 3

7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Lokomotiv Oslo at home — creates 2.35, concedes 1.40 · 20 matches

Flint away — creates 1.69, concedes 2.46 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Lokomotiv Oslo attack 2.35 + Flint defence 2.46 → ÷2 → 2.41

Flint attack 1.69 + Lokomotiv Oslo defence 1.40 → ÷2 → 1.54

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Lokomotiv Oslo scores more

56%

level

19%

Flint scores more

24%

Lokomotiv Oslo at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Lokomotiv Oslo will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff