Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Lokomotiv Moskva W vs Zenit W — Supreme Division Women 2020

Lokomotiv Moskva W
Lokomotiv Moskva W
FT
1 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
Zenit W
Zenit W
11/2/2025Supreme Division WomenSupreme Division Women · Round 25Sapsan Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 75+ matches

Lokomotiv Moskva W42%
×Draw25%
Zenit W33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Lokomotiv Moskva W
1.48
Zenit W
1.27

Lokomotiv Moskva W creates 17% more chances

Season form · 76 home / 75 away

creates per match

Lokomotiv Moskva W
2.46
Zenit W
2.01

allows per match

Lokomotiv Moskva W
0.54
Zenit W
0.51

finishing

Lokomotiv Moskva W+0.00on par
Zenit W+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Lokomotiv Moskva W ↓

Zenit W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–18%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–112%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
30%70%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Lokomotiv Moskva W or draw
67%
Lokomotiv Moskva W or Zenit W
75%
Draw or Zenit W
58%

Winning margin

Lokomotiv Moskva W wins by 2+
20%
Zenit W wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Lokomotiv Moskva W 1+ goals
77%
Lokomotiv Moskva W 2+ goals
43%
Lokomotiv Moskva W 3+ goals
19%
Zenit W 1+ goals
72%
Zenit W 2+ goals
36%
Zenit W 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Lokomotiv Moskva W (draw refunded)
56%
Zenit W (draw refunded)
44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Lokomotiv Moskva W at home — creates 2.46, concedes 0.54 · 76 matches

Zenit W away — creates 2.01, concedes 0.51 · 75 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Lokomotiv Moskva W attack 2.46 + Zenit W defence 0.51 → ÷2 → 1.48

Zenit W attack 2.01 + Lokomotiv Moskva W defence 0.54 → ÷2 → 1.27

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Lokomotiv Moskva W scores more
42%
level
25%
Zenit W scores more
33%

Lokomotiv Moskva W at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Lokomotiv Moskva W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Supreme Division Women: Lokomotiv Moskva W 1–1 Zenit W

Lokomotiv Moskva W and Zenit W drew 1-1 in Supreme Division Women on November 2, 2025.

The match was played at Sapsan Arena in Moscow.