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Lokeren-Temse vs Olympic Charleroi — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Lokeren-Temse
Lokeren-Temse
CANC
17:00
Olympic Charleroi
Olympic Charleroi
7/14/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Lokeren-Temse57%
×Draw20%
Olympic Charleroi23%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Lokeren-Temse
2.25
Olympic Charleroi
1.38

Lokeren-Temse creates 63% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 4 away

creates per match

Lokeren-Temse
3.00
Olympic Charleroi
1.50

allows per match

Lokeren-Temse
1.25
Olympic Charleroi
1.50

finishing

Lokeren-Temse+0.00on par
Olympic Charleroi+0.00on par

Total goals

70%Over
  • Over70
  • Under30

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

67%Yes
  • Yes67
  • No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Lokeren-Temse ↓

Olympic Charleroi →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–14%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–06%
1–18%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
70%30%3.5
49%51%4.5
29%71%

Double chance

Lokeren-Temse or draw
77%
Lokeren-Temse or Olympic Charleroi
80%
Draw or Olympic Charleroi
43%

Winning margin

Lokeren-Temse wins by 2+
35%
Olympic Charleroi wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Lokeren-Temse 1+ goals
89%
Lokeren-Temse 2+ goals
65%
Lokeren-Temse 3+ goals
39%
Olympic Charleroi 1+ goals
75%
Olympic Charleroi 2+ goals
40%
Olympic Charleroi 3+ goals
16%

Draw no bet

Lokeren-Temse (draw refunded)
71%
Olympic Charleroi (draw refunded)
29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
59%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Lokeren-Temse at home — creates 3.00, concedes 1.25 · 4 matches

Olympic Charleroi away — creates 1.50, concedes 1.50 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Lokeren-Temse attack 3.00 + Olympic Charleroi defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 2.25

Olympic Charleroi attack 1.50 + Lokeren-Temse defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.38

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Lokeren-Temse scores more
57%
level
20%
Olympic Charleroi scores more
23%

Lokeren-Temse at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Lokeren-Temse will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Lokeren-Temse host Olympic Charleroi

July 14, 2026: Lokeren-Temse take on Olympic Charleroi in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.