Ljungskile SK 4–1 Helsingborg: Result & Stats

Ljungskile SK

FT

4 – 1

HT: 0 – 1

Helsingborg

J. Liljedahl 90'

L. Lindholm Corner 71'

I. Shears 60'

F. Ambroz 47'

A. Johansson 35'

4/24/2026

Superettan · Round 4Skarsjövallen

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 24+ matches

Ljungskile SK33%

×Draw26%

Helsingborg41%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Ljungskile SKExpected goals in this matchHelsingborg

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.22

1.40

Ljungskile SK

1.22

Helsingborg

1.40

Helsingborg creates 15% more chances

Season form · 24 home / 72 away

1.08

creates per match

1.42

1.38

allows per match

1.35

creates per match

Ljungskile SK

1.08

Helsingborg

1.42

allows per match

Ljungskile SK

1.38

Helsingborg

1.35

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Ljungskile SK+0.00on par

Helsingborg+0.00on par

Total goals

Under51
Over49

Close call

Both teams score

Yes53
No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Ljungskile SK ↓

Helsingborg →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–110%

0–27%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–112%

1–29%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

74%26%2.5

49%51%3.5

27%73%4.5

12%88%

Double chance

Ljungskile SK or draw

59%

Ljungskile SK or Helsingborg

74%

Draw or Helsingborg

67%

Winning margin

Ljungskile SK wins by 2+

14%

Helsingborg wins by 2+

19%

Team goals

Ljungskile SK 1+ goals

70%

Ljungskile SK 2+ goals

34%

Ljungskile SK 3+ goals

12%

Helsingborg 1+ goals

75%

Helsingborg 2+ goals

41%

Helsingborg 3+ goals

17%

Draw no bet

Ljungskile SK (draw refunded)

44%

Helsingborg (draw refunded)

56%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

41%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Ljungskile SK at home — creates 1.08, concedes 1.38 · 24 matches

Helsingborg away — creates 1.42, concedes 1.35 · 72 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Ljungskile SK attack 1.08 + Helsingborg defence 1.35 → ÷2 → 1.22

Helsingborg attack 1.42 + Ljungskile SK defence 1.38 → ÷2 → 1.40

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Ljungskile SK scores more

33%

level

26%

Helsingborg scores more

41%

Helsingborg at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Helsingborg will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

99

L. Lindholm Corner

Ljungskile SK · M

8.9

Match Events

32'

Clancy Valère Biten

35'

A. Johansson↳ J. Voelkerling Persson

41'

Isaac Shears

47'

F. Ambroz↳ L. Lindholm Corner

58'

Daouda Amadou

60'

L. Kjellnas← M. Svensson

60'

I. Shears↳ L. Lindholm Corner

67'

J. Liljedahl← A. Boren

69'

L. Persson← A. Johansson

71'

L. Lindholm Corner↳ D. Lagerlof

72'

S. Omar← D. Ljung

78'

T. Gorefalt← C. Biten

78'

A. Nordin← E. Gigovic

81'

Issaka Seidu

85'

Jakob Voelkerling Persson

87'

D. Frisk← I. Shears

87'

H. Borstam← L. Lindholm Corner

90'

J. Liljedahl↳ L. Eriksson

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

LjungskileHelsingborg

Overview

66%Possession34%

26Total Shots10

2.77Expected Goals (xG)1.84

7Corners3

12Fouls14

Shots

26Total Shots10

11On Target3

9Off Target3

6Blocked4

13Inside Box6

13Outside Box4

Passing

66%Possession34%

464Total Passes259

379Accurate Passes173

82%Pass Accuracy67%

Goalkeeping

2Saves7

Discipline

12Fouls14

2Yellow Cards2

0Red Cards1

2Offsides1

Superettan: Ljungskile SK 4–1 Helsingborg

Ljungskile SK beat Helsingborg 4-1 in Superettan on April 24, 2026.

Goals: A. Johansson (35'), F. Ambroz (47'), I. Shears (60'), L. Lindholm Corner (71'), J. Liljedahl (90').

Ljungskile SK controlled possession (66%) and registered 26 shots to 10.

The match was played at Skarsjövallen in Ljungskile.

Ljungskile SK vs Helsingborg — Superettan 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Superettan: Ljungskile SK 4–1 Helsingborg