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Liptovský Mikuláš vs Slovan Bratislava II — 2. liga 2019

Liptovský Mikuláš
Liptovský Mikuláš
FT
2 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Slovan Bratislava II
Slovan Bratislava II
9/6/20252. liga2. liga · Round 7Mestsky futbalovy stadion Milana Janeka

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 67+ matches

Liptovský Mikuláš58%
×Draw22%
Slovan Bratislava II20%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Liptovský Mikuláš
1.97
Slovan Bratislava II
1.06

Liptovský Mikuláš creates 86% more chances

Season form · 67 home / 95 away

creates per match

Liptovský Mikuláš
1.85
Slovan Bratislava II
1.03

allows per match

Liptovský Mikuláš
1.10
Slovan Bratislava II
2.08

finishing

Liptovský Mikuláš+0.00on par
Slovan Bratislava II+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Liptovský Mikuláš ↓

Slovan Bratislava II →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–110%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–17%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
58%42%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Liptovský Mikuláš or draw
80%
Liptovský Mikuláš or Slovan Bratislava II
78%
Draw or Slovan Bratislava II
42%

Winning margin

Liptovský Mikuláš wins by 2+
35%
Slovan Bratislava II wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Liptovský Mikuláš 1+ goals
86%
Liptovský Mikuláš 2+ goals
58%
Liptovský Mikuláš 3+ goals
31%
Slovan Bratislava II 1+ goals
65%
Slovan Bratislava II 2+ goals
29%
Slovan Bratislava II 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Liptovský Mikuláš (draw refunded)
74%
Slovan Bratislava II (draw refunded)
26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Liptovský Mikuláš at home — creates 1.85, concedes 1.10 · 67 matches

Slovan Bratislava II away — creates 1.03, concedes 2.08 · 95 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Liptovský Mikuláš attack 1.85 + Slovan Bratislava II defence 2.08 → ÷2 → 1.97

Slovan Bratislava II attack 1.03 + Liptovský Mikuláš defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 1.06

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

Liptovský Mikuláš scores more
58%
level
22%
Slovan Bratislava II scores more
20%

Liptovský Mikuláš at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "Liptovský Mikuláš will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Liptovský Mikuláš vs Slovan Bratislava II

Liptovský Mikuláš beat Slovan Bratislava II 2-1 in 2. liga on September 6, 2025.

The match was played at Mestsky futbalovy stadion Milana Janeka in Liptovsky Mikulas.