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Liptovský Mikuláš vs Sereď — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Liptovský Mikuláš
Liptovský Mikuláš
CANC
00:00
Sereď
Sereď
6/26/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Štadión Liptovský Mikuláš

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Liptovský Mikuláš51%
×Draw21%
Sereď28%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Liptovský Mikuláš
2.06
Sereď
1.47

Liptovský Mikuláš creates 40% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 7 away

creates per match

Liptovský Mikuláš
2.13
Sereď
1.14

allows per match

Liptovský Mikuláš
1.80
Sereď
2.00

finishing

Liptovský Mikuláš+0.00on par
Sereď+0.00on par

Total goals

68%Over
  • Over68
  • Under32

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

67%Yes
  • Yes67
  • No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Liptovský Mikuláš ↓

Sereď →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–14%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–19%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
68%32%3.5
47%53%4.5
28%72%

Double chance

Liptovský Mikuláš or draw
72%
Liptovský Mikuláš or Sereď
79%
Draw or Sereď
49%

Winning margin

Liptovský Mikuláš wins by 2+
30%
Sereď wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Liptovský Mikuláš 1+ goals
87%
Liptovský Mikuláš 2+ goals
61%
Liptovský Mikuláš 3+ goals
34%
Sereď 1+ goals
77%
Sereď 2+ goals
43%
Sereď 3+ goals
18%

Draw no bet

Liptovský Mikuláš (draw refunded)
65%
Sereď (draw refunded)
35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
58%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Liptovský Mikuláš at home — creates 2.13, concedes 1.80 · 15 matches

Sereď away — creates 1.14, concedes 2.00 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Liptovský Mikuláš attack 2.13 + Sereď defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.06

Sereď attack 1.14 + Liptovský Mikuláš defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 1.47

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Liptovský Mikuláš scores more
51%
level
21%
Sereď scores more
28%

Liptovský Mikuláš at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Liptovský Mikuláš will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Liptovský Mikuláš host Sereď

June 26, 2021: Liptovský Mikuláš take on Sereď in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Liptovský Mikuláš host Sereď at Štadión Liptovský Mikuláš.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.