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Liptovský Mikuláš vs Lokomotíva Zvolen — 2. liga 2019

Liptovský Mikuláš
Liptovský Mikuláš
Preview
17:00
Lokomotíva Zvolen
Lokomotíva Zvolen
8/14/20262. liga2. liga · Round 4Mestsky futbalovy stadion Milana Janeka
Big match
49%
Liptovský Mikuláš
model favours
49%24%26%

Liptovský Mikuláš have scored in 13 games running

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
53%
over 2.5 goals
55%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Liptovský Mikuláš49%
×Draw24%
Lokomotíva Zvolen26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Liptovský Mikuláš
1.66
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.14

Liptovský Mikuláš creates 46% more chances

Season form · 67 home / 30 away

creates per match

Liptovský Mikuláš
1.85
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.17

allows per match

Liptovský Mikuláš
1.10
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.47

finishing

Liptovský Mikuláš+0.00on par
Lokomotíva Zvolen+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Over
  • Over53
  • Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Liptovský Mikuláš ↓

Lokomotíva Zvolen →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–17%
0–24%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
77%23%2.5
53%47%3.5
31%69%4.5
15%85%

Double chance

Liptovský Mikuláš or draw
74%
Liptovský Mikuláš or Lokomotíva Zvolen
76%
Draw or Lokomotíva Zvolen
51%

Winning margin

Liptovský Mikuláš wins by 2+
26%
Lokomotíva Zvolen wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Liptovský Mikuláš 1+ goals
81%
Liptovský Mikuláš 2+ goals
49%
Liptovský Mikuláš 3+ goals
23%
Lokomotíva Zvolen 1+ goals
68%
Lokomotíva Zvolen 2+ goals
32%
Lokomotíva Zvolen 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Liptovský Mikuláš (draw refunded)
65%
Lokomotíva Zvolen (draw refunded)
35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
44%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Liptovský Mikuláš at home — creates 1.85, concedes 1.10 · 67 matches

Lokomotíva Zvolen away — creates 1.17, concedes 1.47 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Liptovský Mikuláš attack 1.85 + Lokomotíva Zvolen defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.66

Lokomotíva Zvolen attack 1.17 + Liptovský Mikuláš defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 1.14

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Liptovský Mikuláš scores more
49%
level
24%
Lokomotíva Zvolen scores more
26%

Liptovský Mikuláš at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Liptovský Mikuláš will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Liptovský Mikuláš are unbeaten in 6 straight
  • 77% of Liptovský Mikuláš’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Liptovský Mikuláš score first in only 31% of matches
  • Lokomotíva Zvolen have won 3 of the last 4 meetings
  • Top-of-the-table clash — Liptovský Mikuláš 4 vs Lokomotíva Zvolen 2
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 4 meetings

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Mikuláš
WWDWW
Zvolen
DDLLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Liptovský Mikuláš face Lokomotíva Zvolen (2. liga)

2. liga returns with Liptovský Mikuláš hosting Lokomotíva Zvolen. Match starts August 14, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Liptovský Mikuláš host Lokomotíva Zvolen at Mestsky futbalovy stadion Milana Janeka.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.