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Linlithgow Rose vs Clydebank — League #731 2026

Linlithgow Rose
Linlithgow Rose
FT
4 – 1
HT: 2 – 0
Clydebank
Clydebank
4/11/2026League #731League #731 · Lowland League - 39Prestonfield

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Linlithgow Rose38%
×Draw20%
Clydebank41%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Linlithgow Rose
2.10
Clydebank
2.18

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 11 home / 4 away

creates per match

Linlithgow Rose
2.45
Clydebank
3.00

allows per match

Linlithgow Rose
1.36
Clydebank
1.75

finishing

Linlithgow Rose+0.00on par
Clydebank+0.00on par

Total goals

80%Over
  • Over80
  • Under20

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

78%Yes
  • Yes78
  • No22

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Linlithgow Rose ↓

Clydebank →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–13%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–03%
1–16%
1–27%
1–35%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–43%
3
3–02%
3–15%
3–25%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (7%) · grid covers 88% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
93%7%2.5
80%20%3.5
61%39%4.5
42%58%

Double chance

Linlithgow Rose or draw
59%
Linlithgow Rose or Clydebank
80%
Draw or Clydebank
62%

Winning margin

Linlithgow Rose wins by 2+
21%
Clydebank wins by 2+
23%

Team goals

Linlithgow Rose 1+ goals
88%
Linlithgow Rose 2+ goals
62%
Linlithgow Rose 3+ goals
35%
Clydebank 1+ goals
89%
Clydebank 2+ goals
64%
Clydebank 3+ goals
37%

Draw no bet

Linlithgow Rose (draw refunded)
48%
Clydebank (draw refunded)
52%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
71%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Linlithgow Rose at home — creates 2.45, concedes 1.36 · 11 matches

Clydebank away — creates 3.00, concedes 1.75 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Linlithgow Rose attack 2.45 + Clydebank defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 2.10

Clydebank attack 3.00 + Linlithgow Rose defence 1.36 → ÷2 → 2.18

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Linlithgow Rose scores more
38%
level
20%
Clydebank scores more
41%

Clydebank at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Clydebank will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

League #731: Linlithgow Rose 4–1 Clydebank

Linlithgow Rose beat Clydebank 4-1 in League #731 on April 11, 2026.

The match was played at Prestonfield in Linlithgow.