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Limkokwing University vs Bantu — League #962 2026

Limkokwing University
Limkokwing University
FT
2 – 3
HT: 1 – 2
Bantu
Bantu
T. Thejane 74'
J. Boateng 5'
M. Khemisi 46'
K. Selili 33'
T. Lesoaoana 22'
2/16/2025League #962League #962 · Round 17Bambatha Tšita Sports Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Limkokwing University11%
×Draw16%
Bantu73%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Limkokwing University
0.88
Bantu
2.54

Bantu creates 189% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 6 away

creates per match

Limkokwing University
0.75
Bantu
1.83

allows per match

Limkokwing University
3.25
Bantu
1.00

finishing

Limkokwing University+0.00on par
Bantu+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Over
  • Over66
  • Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Limkokwing University ↓

Bantu →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–18%
0–211%
0–39%
0–46%
1
1–03%
1–17%
1–29%
1–38%
1–45%
2
2–01%
2–13%
2–24%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–00%
3–11%
3–21%
3–31%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–2 (11%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
85%15%2.5
66%34%3.5
44%56%4.5
25%75%

Double chance

Limkokwing University or draw
27%
Limkokwing University or Bantu
84%
Draw or Bantu
89%

Winning margin

Limkokwing University wins by 2+
3%
Bantu wins by 2+
51%

Team goals

Limkokwing University 1+ goals
59%
Limkokwing University 2+ goals
22%
Limkokwing University 3+ goals
6%
Bantu 1+ goals
92%
Bantu 2+ goals
72%
Bantu 3+ goals
46%

Draw no bet

Limkokwing University (draw refunded)
13%
Bantu (draw refunded)
87%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Limkokwing University at home — creates 0.75, concedes 3.25 · 4 matches

Bantu away — creates 1.83, concedes 1.00 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Limkokwing University attack 0.75 + Bantu defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.88

Bantu attack 1.83 + Limkokwing University defence 3.25 → ÷2 → 2.54

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 73%?"

Limkokwing University scores more
11%
level
16%
Bantu scores more
73%

Bantu at 73% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 73% does not mean "Bantu will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

5'
J. Boateng
22'
T. Lesoaoana
33'
K. Selili
46'
M. Khemisi
74'
T. Thejane

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

League #962: Limkokwing University 2–3 Bantu

Bantu beat Limkokwing University 3-2 in League #962 on February 16, 2025.

Goals: J. Boateng (5'), T. Lesoaoana (22'), K. Selili (33'), M. Khemisi (46'), T. Thejane (74').

The match was played at Bambatha Tšita Sports Arena in Maseru.