Lillestrom 7–2 KFUM Oslo: Result & Stats

Lillestrom

7 – 2

HT: 3 – 2

KFUM Oslo

Felix Va 84'

G. Nyheim 67'

S. Drammeh 59'

L. Ranger 46'

K. Arierhi 32' (pen), 13', 9'

B. Kristensen 42'

R. Gabrielsen 3' (OG)

2/7/2026

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Lillestrom66%

×Draw16%

KFUM Oslo17%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

LillestromExpected goals in this matchKFUM Oslo

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.87

1.43

Lillestrom

2.87

KFUM Oslo

1.43

Lillestrom creates 101% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 6 away

2.91

creates per match

0.67

2.18

allows per match

2.83

creates per match

Lillestrom

2.91

KFUM Oslo

0.67

allows per match

Lillestrom

2.18

KFUM Oslo

2.83

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Lillestrom+0.00on par

KFUM Oslo+0.00on par

Total goals

Over80
Under20

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes72
No28

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Lillestrom ↓

KFUM Oslo →

0–01%

0–12%

0–21%

0–31%

0–40%

1–04%

1–16%

1–24%

1–32%

1–41%

2–06%

2–18%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3–06%

3–18%

3–26%

3–33%

3–41%

4–04%

4–16%

4–24%

4–32%

4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 85% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

99%1%1.5

93%7%2.5

80%20%3.5

61%39%4.5

41%59%

Double chance

Lillestrom or draw

83%

Lillestrom or KFUM Oslo

84%

Draw or KFUM Oslo

34%

Winning margin

Lillestrom wins by 2+

46%

KFUM Oslo wins by 2+

Team goals

Lillestrom 1+ goals

94%

Lillestrom 2+ goals

77%

Lillestrom 3+ goals

53%

KFUM Oslo 1+ goals

76%

KFUM Oslo 2+ goals

42%

KFUM Oslo 3+ goals

17%

Draw no bet

Lillestrom (draw refunded)

79%

KFUM Oslo (draw refunded)

21%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

66%

Both score & under 3

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Lillestrom at home — creates 2.91, concedes 2.18 · 11 matches

KFUM Oslo away — creates 0.67, concedes 2.83 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Lillestrom attack 2.91 + KFUM Oslo defence 2.83 → ÷2 → 2.87

KFUM Oslo attack 0.67 + Lillestrom defence 2.18 → ÷2 → 1.43

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 66%?"

Lillestrom scores more

66%

level

16%

KFUM Oslo scores more

17%

Lillestrom at 66% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 66% does not mean "Lillestrom will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

R. GabrielsenOwn goal

K. Arierhi

13'

K. Arierhi

32'

K. ArierhiPenalty

42'

46'

59'

67'

84'

Lillestrom

KFUM

⚽

⚽

🥅

⚽3

⚽

Manager: Hans Odegaard

Lillestrom substitutes

1Hagerup30Svenningsen29Nyheim25Ogboji35Reshane36Jallow20VaWaehlerCharlesKristiansen14BjornsengenNtiso21Neto

Manager: Johannes Moesgaard

Match Recap: Lillestrom vs KFUM Oslo

Lillestrom beat KFUM Oslo 7-2 in Friendlies Clubs on February 7, 2026.

Goals: R. Gabrielsen (3' o.g.), K. Arierhi (9', 13', 32' pen), B. Kristensen (42'), L. Ranger (46'), S. Drammeh (59'), G. Nyheim (67'), Felix Va (84').

Lillestrom vs KFUM Oslo — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Lillestrom vs KFUM Oslo