Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 17+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
56%
Over
44%
Under
Both Score
58%
Yes
42%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11%
2-1
9%
1-0
9%
xG Profile (17 home / 17 away matches)
Lille
xG 1.75 · xGA 0.9
-0.34 vs xG
Marseille
xG 1.6 · xGA 1.59
-0.31 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
- Date
- Dec 5, 2025, 8:00 PM
- Tournament
- Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 15
- Referee
- Jérôme Brisard (France)
- Venue
- Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Lille
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.51938%
- Under 2.53162%
Both teams scored
- Yes1836%
- No3264%
Marseille
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.53370%
- Under 2.51430%
Both teams scored
- Yes2553%
- No2247%
Match Events
Head to Head
Paris Saint Germain
Lens
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Rennes
Monaco
Strasbourg
Lorient
Toulouse
Paris FC
Stade Brestois 29
Angers
Nice
Le Havre
Auxerre
Nantes
Metz
Rodez
Saint Etienne
RED Star FC 93If points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Lille host Marseille on Friday, 5 December 2025 at 20:00. The match is part of the Ligue 1 2026/2027 season.
Lille 1 – 0 Marseille
Lille beat Marseille 1-0 in Ligue 1 on December 5, 2025.
Goals: E. Mbappe (10').
Marseille controlled possession (58%) and registered 6 shots to 5.
The match was played at Stade Pierre-Mauroy in Lille.