Liechtenstein 0–4 Scotland: Result & Stats

Liechtenstein

FT

0 – 4

HT: 0 – 2

Scotland

Che Adams 90+2', 25', 4'

George Hirst 48'

6/9/2025

Friendlies · Friendlies 1Rheinpark Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Liechtenstein11%

×Draw19%

Scotland70%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

LiechtensteinExpected goals in this matchScotland

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.66

2.06

Liechtenstein

0.66

Scotland

2.06

Scotland creates 212% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 11 away

0.14

creates per match

1.55

2.57

allows per match

1.18

creates per match

Liechtenstein

0.14

Scotland

1.55

allows per match

Liechtenstein

2.57

Scotland

1.18

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Liechtenstein+0.00on par

Scotland+0.00on par

Total goals

Over51
Under49

Close call

Both teams score

No58
Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Liechtenstein ↓

Scotland →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–114%

0–214%

0–310%

0–45%

1

1–04%

1–19%

1–29%

1–36%

1–43%

2

2–01%

2–13%

2–23%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–00%

3–11%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–00%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (14%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

75%25%2.5

51%49%3.5

29%71%4.5

14%86%

Double chance

Liechtenstein or draw

30%

Liechtenstein or Scotland

81%

Draw or Scotland

89%

Winning margin

Liechtenstein wins by 2+

3%

Scotland wins by 2+

45%

Team goals

Liechtenstein 1+ goals

48%

Liechtenstein 2+ goals

14%

Liechtenstein 3+ goals

3%

Scotland 1+ goals

87%

Scotland 2+ goals

61%

Scotland 3+ goals

34%

Draw no bet

Liechtenstein (draw refunded)

13%

Scotland (draw refunded)

87%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

33%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Liechtenstein at home — creates 0.14, concedes 2.57 · 7 matches

Scotland away — creates 1.55, concedes 1.18 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Liechtenstein attack 0.14 + Scotland defence 1.18 → ÷2 → 0.66

Scotland attack 1.55 + Liechtenstein defence 2.57 → ÷2 → 2.06

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 70%?"

Liechtenstein scores more

11%

level

19%

Scotland scores more

70%

Scotland at 70% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 70% does not mean "Scotland will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

10

Che Adams

Scotland · F

10.0

Match Events

4'

Che Adams

25'

Che Adams↳ Lennon Miller

36'

Simon Lüchinger

46'

Justin Ospelt← Benjamin Büchel

48'

George Hirst↳ Che Adams

52'

Livio Meier← Kenny Kindle

52'

Andrin Netzer← Fabio Luque Notaro

57'

Andrin Netzer

59'

Josh Doig← Andrew Robertson

59'

Andy Irving← John McGinn

65'

Fabio Wolfinger← Nicolas Hasler

68'

Tommy Conway← George Hirst

68'

Nathan Patterson← Anthony Ralston

78'

Kieron Bowie← Lewis Ferguson

78'

Connor Barron← Billy Gilmour

80'

William Pizzi← Ferhat Sağlam

81'

Emanuel Zünd← Simon Lüchinger

90+2'

Che Adams↳ Tommy Conway

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

LiechtensteinScotland

Overview

21%Possession79%

1Total Shots19

0Corners10

11Fouls13

Shots

1Total Shots19

0On Target6

1Off Target9

0Blocked4

0Inside Box14

1Outside Box5

Passing

21%Possession79%

180Total Passes685

113Accurate Passes617

63%Pass Accuracy90%

Goalkeeping

2Saves0

Discipline

11Fouls13

2Yellow Cards0

0Offsides2

Match Recap: Liechtenstein vs Scotland

Scotland beat Liechtenstein 4-0 in Friendlies on June 9, 2025.

Goals: Che Adams (4', 25', 90+2'), George Hirst (48').

Scotland controlled possession (79%) and registered 19 shots to 1.

The match was played at Rheinpark Stadion in Vaduz.

Liechtenstein vs Scotland — Friendlies 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Liechtenstein vs Scotland