Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Leyton Orient vs Wycombe — League One 2018

Leyton Orient
Leyton Orient
Preview
11:30
Wycombe
Wycombe
9/12/2026League OneLeague One · Round 6Brisbane Road
Big match
39%
Leyton Orient
model favours
39%27%34%

80% of Leyton Orient’s matches go over 2.5 goals

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
54%
under 2.5 goals
51%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 79+ matches

Leyton Orient39%
×Draw27%
Wycombe34%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Leyton Orient
1.31
Wycombe
1.22

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 79 home / 158 away

creates per match

Leyton Orient
1.30
Wycombe
1.26

allows per match

Leyton Orient
1.18
Wycombe
1.32

finishing

Leyton Orient+0.00on par
Wycombe+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Under
  • Under54
  • Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%Yes
  • Yes51
  • No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Leyton Orient ↓

Wycombe →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–110%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
46%54%3.5
25%75%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Leyton Orient or draw
66%
Leyton Orient or Wycombe
73%
Draw or Wycombe
61%

Winning margin

Leyton Orient wins by 2+
17%
Wycombe wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Leyton Orient 1+ goals
73%
Leyton Orient 2+ goals
38%
Leyton Orient 3+ goals
14%
Wycombe 1+ goals
70%
Wycombe 2+ goals
34%
Wycombe 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Leyton Orient (draw refunded)
53%
Wycombe (draw refunded)
47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Leyton Orient at home — creates 1.30, concedes 1.18 · 79 matches

Wycombe away — creates 1.26, concedes 1.32 · 158 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Leyton Orient attack 1.30 + Wycombe defence 1.32 → ÷2 → 1.31

Wycombe attack 1.26 + Leyton Orient defence 1.18 → ÷2 → 1.22

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Leyton Orient scores more
39%
level
27%
Wycombe scores more
34%

Leyton Orient at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Leyton Orient will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Leyton Orient score first in only 30% of matches
  • Leyton Orient have scored in 7 games running
  • Both teams score in 70% of Leyton Orient’s matches
  • Wycombe fall short of their xG (1.4 vs 1.9 expected)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
Leyton Orient
Balanced
Wycombe
Defensively solid
52%Possession48%
71%Pass accuracy67%
11.2Shots12.2
1.09xGBiggest gap1.91
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
Leyton OrientWycombe

Head-to-head

6 previous meetings

2
Leyton Orient
1
Draws
3
Wycombe
Avg goals: 2.7BTTS: 33%
2–01–41–00–30–0

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Orient
LLWWD
Wycombe
LLWWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Leyton Orient face Wycombe (League One)

League One returns with Leyton Orient hosting Wycombe. Match starts September 12, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Leyton Orient host Wycombe at Brisbane Road.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.