Levante 0–0 Huesca: Result & Stats

Levante

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Huesca

8/12/2022

Segunda División · Round 1Estadio Ciudad de Valencia

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 66+ matches

Levante48%

×Draw27%

Huesca25%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

LevanteExpected goals in this matchHuesca

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.38

0.92

Levante

1.38

Huesca

0.92

Levante creates 50% more chances

Season form · 66 home / 127 away

1.56

creates per match

0.93

0.91

allows per match

1.20

creates per match

Levante

1.56

Huesca

0.93

allows per match

Levante

0.91

Huesca

1.20

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Levante+0.00on par

Huesca+0.00on par

Total goals

Under60
Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No55
Yes45

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Levante ↓

Huesca →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–010%

0–19%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–014%

1–113%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

67%33%2.5

40%60%3.5

20%80%4.5

8%92%

Double chance

Levante or draw

75%

Levante or Huesca

73%

Draw or Huesca

52%

Winning margin

Levante wins by 2+

23%

Huesca wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Levante 1+ goals

75%

Levante 2+ goals

40%

Levante 3+ goals

16%

Huesca 1+ goals

60%

Huesca 2+ goals

23%

Huesca 3+ goals

7%

Draw no bet

Levante (draw refunded)

65%

Huesca (draw refunded)

35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

32%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Levante at home — creates 1.56, concedes 0.91 · 66 matches

Huesca away — creates 0.93, concedes 1.20 · 127 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Levante attack 1.56 + Huesca defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 1.38

Huesca attack 0.93 + Levante defence 0.91 → ÷2 → 0.92

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Levante scores more

48%

level

27%

Huesca scores more

25%

Levante at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Levante will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

14

Jorge Pulido

Huesca · D

8.0

Match Events

-5'

-5'

29'

34'

44'

Enric Franquesa← M. Saracchi

57'

David Timor

61'

Juan Carlos← A. Kanté

61'

Joaquín Muñoz← S. Soko

65'

Pepelu

66'

Jonathan Montiel← Rober

66'

Cantero← Brugui

76'

K. Hashimoto← Marc Mateu

76'

Gerard Valentín← Pablo Tomeo

77'

Soldado← Wesley Moraes

77'

Pablo Martínez← Melero

90+1'

Euse Monzó← F. Miguel

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

LevanteHuesca

Overview

58%Possession42%

16Total Shots9

10Corners2

19Fouls9

Shots

16Total Shots9

2On Target2

9Off Target3

5Blocked4

9Inside Box6

7Outside Box3

Passing

58%Possession42%

394Total Passes299

315Accurate Passes237

80%Pass Accuracy79%

Goalkeeping

2Saves2

Discipline

19Fouls9

4Yellow Cards1

1Red Cards0

1Offsides4