Levante 0–2 Cadiz: Result & Stats | La Liga

Levante

FT

0 – 2

HT: 0 – 1

Cadiz

Salvi 73'

Álvaro Negredo 34'

1/22/2022

La Liga · Round 22Estadio Ciudad de Valencia

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 58+ matches

Levante46%

×Draw25%

Cadiz28%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

LevanteExpected goals in this matchCadiz

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.53

1.14

Levante

1.53

Cadiz

1.14

Levante creates 34% more chances

Season form · 97 home / 58 away

1.49

creates per match

0.81

1.47

allows per match

1.57

creates per match

Levante

1.49

Cadiz

0.81

allows per match

Levante

1.47

Cadiz

1.57

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Levante+0.00on par

Cadiz+0.00on par

Total goals

Under50
Over50

Close call

Both teams score

Yes53
No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Levante ↓

Cadiz →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–18%

0–25%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–112%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

75%25%2.5

50%50%3.5

28%72%4.5

13%87%

Double chance

Levante or draw

72%

Levante or Cadiz

75%

Draw or Cadiz

54%

Winning margin

Levante wins by 2+

23%

Cadiz wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Levante 1+ goals

78%

Levante 2+ goals

45%

Levante 3+ goals

20%

Cadiz 1+ goals

68%

Cadiz 2+ goals

32%

Cadiz 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Levante (draw refunded)

62%

Cadiz (draw refunded)

38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

41%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Levante at home — creates 1.49, concedes 1.47 · 97 matches

Cadiz away — creates 0.81, concedes 1.57 · 58 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Levante attack 1.49 + Cadiz defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 1.53

Cadiz attack 0.81 + Levante defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.14

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Levante scores more

46%

level

25%

Cadiz scores more

28%

Levante at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Levante will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

1

J. Ledesma

Cadiz · G

8.9

Match Events

23'

Fali

34'

Álvaro Negredo↳ A. Lozano

38'

V. Haroyan← Fali Jiménez

49'

Enis Bardhi

50'

Anthony Lozano

55'

Jorge de Frutos← E. Bardhi

59'

Salvi

61'

Rubén Alcaraz← A. Lozano

61'

Sobrino← Álex

68'

Jeremías Ledesma

69'

Carlos Clerc

73'

Salvi↳ Alejo

76'

76'

76'

77'

77'

Enric Franquesa← Clerc

79'

S. Arzamendia← Alejo

80'

T. Alarcón← Álvaro Negredo

87'

M. Malsa← Melero

87'

Cantero← Soldado

90'

Varazdat Haroyan

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

LevanteCadiz

Overview

66%Possession34%

15Total Shots8

8Corners2

15Fouls16

Shots

15Total Shots8

8On Target2

5Off Target4

2Blocked2

11Inside Box4

4Outside Box4

Passing

66%Possession34%

514Total Passes276

428Accurate Passes189

83%Pass Accuracy68%

Goalkeeping

0Saves8

Discipline

15Fouls16

4Yellow Cards6

5Offsides1

La Liga: Levante 0–2 Cadiz

Cadiz beat Levante 2-0 in La Liga on January 22, 2022.

Goals: Álvaro Negredo (34'), Salvi (73').

Levante controlled possession (66%) and registered 15 shots to 8.

The match was played at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia in Valencia.

Levante vs Cadiz — La Liga 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

La Liga: Levante 0–2 Cadiz