Levante II 1–0 Racing CF Benidorm: Result & Stats

Levante II

1 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Racing CF Benidorm

3/15/2025

Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 · Group 6 - 26Ciudad Deportiva de Buñol Hierba Artificial

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Levante II47%

×Draw28%

Racing CF Benidorm25%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Levante IIExpected goals in this matchRacing CF Benidorm

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.36

0.91

Levante II

1.36

Racing CF Benidorm

0.91

Levante II creates 49% more chances

Season form · 68 home / 17 away

1.32

creates per match

1.06

0.76

allows per match

1.41

creates per match

Levante II

1.32

Racing CF Benidorm

1.06

allows per match

Levante II

0.76

Racing CF Benidorm

1.41

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Levante II+0.00on par

Racing CF Benidorm+0.00on par

Total goals

Under60
Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No56
Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Levante II ↓

Racing CF Benidorm →

0–010%

0–19%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1–014%

1–113%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2–010%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

66%34%2.5

40%60%3.5

19%81%4.5

8%92%

Double chance

Levante II or draw

75%

Levante II or Racing CF Benidorm

72%

Draw or Racing CF Benidorm

53%

Winning margin

Levante II wins by 2+

22%

Racing CF Benidorm wins by 2+

Team goals

Levante II 1+ goals

74%

Levante II 2+ goals

39%

Levante II 3+ goals

16%

Racing CF Benidorm 1+ goals

60%

Racing CF Benidorm 2+ goals

23%

Racing CF Benidorm 3+ goals

Draw no bet

Levante II (draw refunded)

65%

Racing CF Benidorm (draw refunded)

35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

32%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Levante II at home — creates 1.32, concedes 0.76 · 68 matches

Racing CF Benidorm away — creates 1.06, concedes 1.41 · 17 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Levante II attack 1.32 + Racing CF Benidorm defence 1.41 → ÷2 → 1.36

Racing CF Benidorm attack 1.06 + Levante II defence 0.76 → ÷2 → 0.91

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 47%?"

Levante II scores more

47%

level

28%

Racing CF Benidorm scores more

25%

Levante II at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Levante II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Tercera División RFEF - Group 6: Levante II 1–0 Racing CF Benidorm

Levante II beat Racing CF Benidorm 1-0 in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 on March 15, 2025.

The match was played at Ciudad Deportiva de Buñol Hierba Artificial in Buñol.

Levante II vs Racing CF Benidorm — Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Tercera División RFEF - Group 6: Levante II 1–0 Racing CF Benidorm