Leotar 4–0 Famos Vojkovići: Result & Stats

Leotar

FT

4 – 0

HT: 2 – 0

Famos Vojkovići

A. Stozinic 88' (OG)

M. Acimovic 74'

L. Babic 27'

A. Stoisavljevic 25'

3/28/2026

1st League - RS · RS - 22Stadion Police

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 64+ matches

Leotar67%

×Draw21%

Famos Vojkovići12%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

LeotarExpected goals in this matchFamos Vojkovići

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.91

0.65

Leotar

1.91

Famos Vojkovići

0.65

Leotar creates 194% more chances

Season form · 64 home / 66 away

1.88

creates per match

0.73

0.56

allows per match

1.94

creates per match

Leotar

1.88

Famos Vojkovići

0.73

allows per match

Leotar

0.56

Famos Vojkovići

1.94

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Leotar+0.00on par

Famos Vojkovići+0.00on par

Total goals

Under53
Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No59
Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Leotar ↓

Famos Vojkovići →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–15%

0–22%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–015%

1–110%

1–23%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–014%

2–19%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–09%

3–16%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–04%

4–13%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

72%28%2.5

47%53%3.5

25%75%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Leotar or draw

88%

Leotar or Famos Vojkovići

79%

Draw or Famos Vojkovići

33%

Winning margin

Leotar wins by 2+

41%

Famos Vojkovići wins by 2+

3%

Team goals

Leotar 1+ goals

85%

Leotar 2+ goals

57%

Leotar 3+ goals

30%

Famos Vojkovići 1+ goals

48%

Famos Vojkovići 2+ goals

14%

Famos Vojkovići 3+ goals

3%

Draw no bet

Leotar (draw refunded)

85%

Famos Vojkovići (draw refunded)

15%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

31%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Leotar at home — creates 1.88, concedes 0.56 · 64 matches

Famos Vojkovići away — creates 0.73, concedes 1.94 · 66 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Leotar attack 1.88 + Famos Vojkovići defence 1.94 → ÷2 → 1.91

Famos Vojkovići attack 0.73 + Leotar defence 0.56 → ÷2 → 0.65

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 67%?"

Leotar scores more

67%

level

21%

Famos Vojkovići scores more

12%

Leotar at 67% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 67% does not mean "Leotar will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

25'

A. Stoisavljevic

27'

L. Babic

74'

M. Acimovic

88'

A. StozinicOwn goal

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff