Leo Victor 0–2 FC Inter Wanica: Result & Stats

Leo Victor

FT

0 – 2

FC Inter Wanica

2/8/2025

Eerste Divisie · Round 2Dr. Ir. Franklin Essed Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 60+ matches

Leo Victor57%

×Draw20%

FC Inter Wanica23%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Leo VictorExpected goals in this matchFC Inter Wanica

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.25

1.38

Leo Victor

2.25

FC Inter Wanica

1.38

Leo Victor creates 63% more chances

Season form · 61 home / 60 away

1.82

creates per match

1.17

1.59

allows per match

2.68

creates per match

Leo Victor

1.82

FC Inter Wanica

1.17

allows per match

Leo Victor

1.59

FC Inter Wanica

2.68

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Leo Victor+0.00on par

FC Inter Wanica+0.00on par

Total goals

Over70
Under30

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes67
No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Leo Victor ↓

FC Inter Wanica →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–14%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–06%

1–18%

1–26%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–17%

3–25%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–03%

4–14%

4–23%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

88%12%2.5

70%30%3.5

49%51%4.5

29%71%

Double chance

Leo Victor or draw

77%

Leo Victor or FC Inter Wanica

80%

Draw or FC Inter Wanica

43%

Winning margin

Leo Victor wins by 2+

35%

FC Inter Wanica wins by 2+

10%

Team goals

Leo Victor 1+ goals

89%

Leo Victor 2+ goals

65%

Leo Victor 3+ goals

39%

FC Inter Wanica 1+ goals

75%

FC Inter Wanica 2+ goals

40%

FC Inter Wanica 3+ goals

16%

Draw no bet

Leo Victor (draw refunded)

71%

FC Inter Wanica (draw refunded)

29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

59%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Leo Victor at home — creates 1.82, concedes 1.59 · 61 matches

FC Inter Wanica away — creates 1.17, concedes 2.68 · 60 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Leo Victor attack 1.82 + FC Inter Wanica defence 2.68 → ÷2 → 2.25

FC Inter Wanica attack 1.17 + Leo Victor defence 1.59 → ÷2 → 1.38

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Leo Victor scores more

57%

level

20%

FC Inter Wanica scores more

23%

Leo Victor at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Leo Victor will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff