Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Lebring vs Union RB Weinland Gamlit — Landesliga - Steiermark 2019

Lebring
Lebring
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Union RB Weinland Gamlit
Union RB Weinland Gamlit
8/1/2025Landesliga - SteiermarkLandesliga - Steiermark · Steiermark - 1sanSirro Stadion Lebring

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 86+ matches

Lebring48%
×Draw21%
Union RB Weinland Gamlit31%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Lebring
2.08
Union RB Weinland Gamlit
1.64

Lebring creates 27% more chances

Season form · 89 home / 86 away

creates per match

Lebring
2.16
Union RB Weinland Gamlit
1.57

allows per match

Lebring
1.70
Union RB Weinland Gamlit
2.00

finishing

Lebring+0.00on par
Union RB Weinland Gamlit+0.00on par

Total goals

72%Over
  • Over72
  • Under28

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

70%Yes
  • Yes70
  • No30

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Lebring ↓

Union RB Weinland Gamlit →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–14%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–18%
1–27%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–19%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–23%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
88%12%2.5
72%28%3.5
51%49%4.5
31%69%

Double chance

Lebring or draw
69%
Lebring or Union RB Weinland Gamlit
79%
Draw or Union RB Weinland Gamlit
52%

Winning margin

Lebring wins by 2+
28%
Union RB Weinland Gamlit wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Lebring 1+ goals
87%
Lebring 2+ goals
61%
Lebring 3+ goals
34%
Union RB Weinland Gamlit 1+ goals
81%
Union RB Weinland Gamlit 2+ goals
49%
Union RB Weinland Gamlit 3+ goals
23%

Draw no bet

Lebring (draw refunded)
61%
Union RB Weinland Gamlit (draw refunded)
39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
62%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Lebring at home — creates 2.16, concedes 1.70 · 89 matches

Union RB Weinland Gamlit away — creates 1.57, concedes 2.00 · 86 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Lebring attack 2.16 + Union RB Weinland Gamlit defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.08

Union RB Weinland Gamlit attack 1.57 + Lebring defence 1.70 → ÷2 → 1.64

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Lebring scores more
48%
level
21%
Union RB Weinland Gamlit scores more
31%

Lebring at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Lebring will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Lebring vs Union RB Weinland Gamlit

Lebring beat Union RB Weinland Gamlit 1-0 in Landesliga - Steiermark on August 1, 2025.

The match was played at sanSirro Stadion Lebring in Lebring.