Lausanne 2–0 Stade Nyonnais: Result & Stats

Lausanne

FT

2 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Stade Nyonnais

1/13/2024

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Centre de Football de la Tuilière 1

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Lausanne59%

×Draw21%

Stade Nyonnais20%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

LausanneExpected goals in this matchStade Nyonnais

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.08

1.13

Lausanne

2.08

Stade Nyonnais

1.13

Lausanne creates 84% more chances

Season form · 12 home / 8 away

1.92

creates per match

1.25

1.00

allows per match

2.25

creates per match

Lausanne

1.92

Stade Nyonnais

1.25

allows per match

Lausanne

1.00

Stade Nyonnais

2.25

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Lausanne+0.00on par

Stade Nyonnais+0.00on par

Total goals

Over62
Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes59
No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Lausanne ↓

Stade Nyonnais →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–15%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–08%

1–110%

1–25%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–110%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–06%

3–17%

3–24%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–14%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

83%17%2.5

62%38%3.5

40%60%4.5

22%78%

Double chance

Lausanne or draw

80%

Lausanne or Stade Nyonnais

79%

Draw or Stade Nyonnais

41%

Winning margin

Lausanne wins by 2+

36%

Stade Nyonnais wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Lausanne 1+ goals

87%

Lausanne 2+ goals

61%

Lausanne 3+ goals

34%

Stade Nyonnais 1+ goals

68%

Stade Nyonnais 2+ goals

31%

Stade Nyonnais 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Lausanne (draw refunded)

75%

Stade Nyonnais (draw refunded)

25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

50%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Lausanne at home — creates 1.92, concedes 1.00 · 12 matches

Stade Nyonnais away — creates 1.25, concedes 2.25 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Lausanne attack 1.92 + Stade Nyonnais defence 2.25 → ÷2 → 2.08

Stade Nyonnais attack 1.25 + Lausanne defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.13

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 59%?"

Lausanne scores more

59%

level

21%

Stade Nyonnais scores more

20%

Lausanne at 59% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 59% does not mean "Lausanne will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Lausanne 2–0 Stade Nyonnais

Lausanne beat Stade Nyonnais 2-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 13, 2024.

The match was played at Centre de Football de la Tuilière 1 in Lausanne.

Lausanne vs Stade Nyonnais — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Friendlies Clubs: Lausanne 2–0 Stade Nyonnais