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Lausanne Sport II vs Vevey Sports — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Lausanne Sport II
Lausanne Sport II
CANC
14:00
Vevey Sports
Vevey Sports
1/25/2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Lausanne Sport II79%
×Draw13%
Vevey Sports8%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Lausanne Sport II
3.00
Vevey Sports
0.88

Lausanne Sport II creates 241% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 3 away

creates per match

Lausanne Sport II
2.00
Vevey Sports
0.00

allows per match

Lausanne Sport II
1.75
Vevey Sports
4.00

finishing

Lausanne Sport II+0.00on par
Vevey Sports+0.00on par

Total goals

73%Over
  • Over73
  • Under27

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Lausanne Sport II ↓

Vevey Sports →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–12%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–06%
1–16%
1–22%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–18%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–010%
3–18%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–07%
4–16%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (10%) · grid covers 84% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
90%10%2.5
73%27%3.5
53%47%4.5
33%67%

Double chance

Lausanne Sport II or draw
92%
Lausanne Sport II or Vevey Sports
87%
Draw or Vevey Sports
21%

Winning margin

Lausanne Sport II wins by 2+
60%
Vevey Sports wins by 2+
2%

Team goals

Lausanne Sport II 1+ goals
95%
Lausanne Sport II 2+ goals
79%
Lausanne Sport II 3+ goals
56%
Vevey Sports 1+ goals
59%
Vevey Sports 2+ goals
22%
Vevey Sports 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Lausanne Sport II (draw refunded)
91%
Vevey Sports (draw refunded)
9%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Lausanne Sport II at home — creates 2.00, concedes 1.75 · 4 matches

Vevey Sports away — creates 0.00, concedes 4.00 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Lausanne Sport II attack 2.00 + Vevey Sports defence 4.00 → ÷2 → 3.00

Vevey Sports attack 0.00 + Lausanne Sport II defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 0.88

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 79%?"

Lausanne Sport II scores more
79%
level
13%
Vevey Sports scores more
8%

Lausanne Sport II at 79% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 79% does not mean "Lausanne Sport II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Lausanne Sport II face Vevey Sports (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with Lausanne Sport II hosting Vevey Sports. Match starts January 25, 2025. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.