Lask Linz 2–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf: Result & Stats

Lask Linz

2 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Unknown 79', 54'

7/18/2026

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Lask Linz23%

×Draw17%

Fortuna Düsseldorf60%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Lask LinzExpected goals in this matchFortuna Düsseldorf

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.93

3.06

Lask Linz

1.93

Fortuna Düsseldorf

3.06

Fortuna Düsseldorf creates 59% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 10 away

2.35

creates per match

4.60

1.53

allows per match

1.50

creates per match

Lask Linz

2.35

Fortuna Düsseldorf

4.60

allows per match

Lask Linz

1.53

Fortuna Düsseldorf

1.50

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Lask Linz+0.00on par

Fortuna Düsseldorf+0.00on par

Total goals

Over87
Under13

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes81
No19

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Lask Linz ↓

Fortuna Düsseldorf →

0–01%

0–12%

0–23%

0–33%

0–43%

1–01%

1–14%

1–26%

1–37%

1–45%

2–01%

2–14%

2–26%

2–36%

2–45%

3–01%

3–13%

3–24%

3–34%

3–43%

4–00%

4–11%

4–22%

4–32%

4–41%

Most likely 1–3 (7%) · grid covers 80% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

99%1%1.5

96%4%2.5

87%13%3.5

72%28%4.5

54%46%

Double chance

Lask Linz or draw

40%

Lask Linz or Fortuna Düsseldorf

83%

Draw or Fortuna Düsseldorf

77%

Winning margin

Lask Linz wins by 2+

11%

Fortuna Düsseldorf wins by 2+

40%

Team goals

Lask Linz 1+ goals

85%

Lask Linz 2+ goals

57%

Lask Linz 3+ goals

30%

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1+ goals

95%

Fortuna Düsseldorf 2+ goals

80%

Fortuna Düsseldorf 3+ goals

57%

Draw no bet

Lask Linz (draw refunded)

28%

Fortuna Düsseldorf (draw refunded)

72%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

77%

Both score & under 3

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Lask Linz at home — creates 2.35, concedes 1.53 · 17 matches

Fortuna Düsseldorf away — creates 4.60, concedes 1.50 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Lask Linz attack 2.35 + Fortuna Düsseldorf defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.93

Fortuna Düsseldorf attack 4.60 + Lask Linz defence 1.53 → ÷2 → 3.06

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 60%?"

Lask Linz scores more

23%

level

17%

Fortuna Düsseldorf scores more

60%

Fortuna Düsseldorf at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Fortuna Düsseldorf will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

54'

79'

Lask

Fortuna

Manager: Dietmar Kuhbauer

Lask Linz substitutes

50Schillinger8Usor16Andrade47Verhaeghe55Dibango29Flecker41Michael52CheikneIlkIbrahim

Manager: Alexander Ende

Fortuna Düsseldorf substitutes

22Lord14Consbruch15Oberdorf18Goncalves25Zimmermann27Paulina29SauckSlimaniMentzelAmaniampong44EgouliEgouliTito

Friendlies Clubs: Lask Linz 2–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf

Lask Linz beat Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-0 in Friendlies Clubs on July 18, 2026.

Goals: ? (54', 79').

Lask Linz vs Fortuna Düsseldorf — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Friendlies Clubs: Lask Linz 2–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf