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Lask Linz vs BSC Young Boys — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Lask Linz
Lask Linz
FT
3 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
BSC Young Boys
BSC Young Boys
1/10/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Lask Linz43%
×Draw23%
BSC Young Boys34%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Lask Linz
1.79
BSC Young Boys
1.58

Lask Linz creates 13% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 5 away

creates per match

Lask Linz
1.79
BSC Young Boys
1.60

allows per match

Lask Linz
1.57
BSC Young Boys
1.80

finishing

Lask Linz+0.00on par
BSC Young Boys+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Over
  • Over65
  • Under35

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

66%Yes
  • Yes66
  • No34

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Lask Linz ↓

BSC Young Boys →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–110%
1–28%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–34%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
85%15%2.5
65%35%3.5
43%57%4.5
25%75%

Double chance

Lask Linz or draw
66%
Lask Linz or BSC Young Boys
77%
Draw or BSC Young Boys
57%

Winning margin

Lask Linz wins by 2+
23%
BSC Young Boys wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Lask Linz 1+ goals
83%
Lask Linz 2+ goals
53%
Lask Linz 3+ goals
26%
BSC Young Boys 1+ goals
79%
BSC Young Boys 2+ goals
47%
BSC Young Boys 3+ goals
21%

Draw no bet

Lask Linz (draw refunded)
56%
BSC Young Boys (draw refunded)
44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
56%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Lask Linz at home — creates 1.79, concedes 1.57 · 14 matches

BSC Young Boys away — creates 1.60, concedes 1.80 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Lask Linz attack 1.79 + BSC Young Boys defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 1.79

BSC Young Boys attack 1.60 + Lask Linz defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 1.58

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Lask Linz scores more
43%
level
23%
BSC Young Boys scores more
34%

Lask Linz at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Lask Linz will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Lask Linz 3–0 BSC Young Boys

Lask Linz beat BSC Young Boys 3-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 10, 2026.