Landskrona BoIS 1–0 Ljungskile SK: Result & Stats

Landskrona BoIS

FT

1 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Ljungskile SK

A. Egnell 86' (pen)

4/18/2026

Superettan · Round 3Landskrona Idrottsplats

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 26+ matches

Landskrona BoIS50%

×Draw25%

Ljungskile SK25%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Landskrona BoISExpected goals in this matchLjungskile SK

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.60

1.05

Landskrona BoIS

1.60

Ljungskile SK

1.05

Landskrona BoIS creates 52% more chances

Season form · 89 home / 26 away

1.57

creates per match

0.96

1.15

allows per match

1.62

creates per match

Landskrona BoIS

1.57

Ljungskile SK

0.96

allows per match

Landskrona BoIS

1.15

Ljungskile SK

1.62

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Landskrona BoIS+0.00on par

Ljungskile SK+0.00on par

Total goals

Under51
Over49

Close call

Both teams score

Yes52
No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Landskrona BoIS ↓

Ljungskile SK →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–17%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–112%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

74%26%2.5

49%51%3.5

27%73%4.5

13%87%

Double chance

Landskrona BoIS or draw

75%

Landskrona BoIS or Ljungskile SK

75%

Draw or Ljungskile SK

50%

Winning margin

Landskrona BoIS wins by 2+

26%

Ljungskile SK wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Landskrona BoIS 1+ goals

80%

Landskrona BoIS 2+ goals

47%

Landskrona BoIS 3+ goals

22%

Ljungskile SK 1+ goals

65%

Ljungskile SK 2+ goals

28%

Ljungskile SK 3+ goals

9%

Draw no bet

Landskrona BoIS (draw refunded)

67%

Ljungskile SK (draw refunded)

33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

40%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Landskrona BoIS at home — creates 1.57, concedes 1.15 · 89 matches

Ljungskile SK away — creates 0.96, concedes 1.62 · 26 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Landskrona BoIS attack 1.57 + Ljungskile SK defence 1.62 → ÷2 → 1.60

Ljungskile SK attack 0.96 + Landskrona BoIS defence 1.15 → ÷2 → 1.05

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Landskrona BoIS scores more

50%

level

25%

Ljungskile SK scores more

25%

Landskrona BoIS at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Landskrona BoIS will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

3

G. Weststrom

Landskrona BoIS · D

8.0

Match Events

15'

J. Liljedahl← W. Nilsson

30'

Gideon Mensah

45+4'

Markus Björkqvist

46'

D. Ljung← D. Frisk

60'

E. Moungam← G. Weststrom

60'

K. Jensen← M. Bjorkqvist

66'

A. Egnell← Z. Loukili

66'

X. Odhiambo← E. Hebibovic

71'

S. Omar← S. Adrian

71'

D. Lagerlof← M. Uzel

76'

A. Smajic←

77'

Amr Kaddoura

85'

Daniel Lagerlöf

86'

A. EgnellPenalty

87'

L. Lindholm Corner← E. Reljanovic

90+8'

Constantino Capotondi

90+7'

Ivan Marić

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

LandskronaLjungskile

Overview

55%Possession45%

8Total Shots15

1.82Expected Goals (xG)2.04

1Corners6

15Fouls21

Shots

8Total Shots15

2On Target2

4Off Target4

2Blocked9

5Inside Box8

3Outside Box7

Passing

55%Possession45%

440Total Passes337

351Accurate Passes255

80%Pass Accuracy76%

Goalkeeping

2Saves1

Discipline

15Fouls21

3Yellow Cards3

0Red Cards0

2Offsides0

Superettan: Landskrona BoIS 1–0 Ljungskile SK

Landskrona BoIS beat Ljungskile SK 1-0 in Superettan on April 18, 2026.

Goals: A. Egnell (86' pen).

Landskrona BoIS controlled possession (55%) and registered 8 shots to 15.

The match was played at Landskrona Idrottsplats in Landskrona.

Landskrona BoIS vs Ljungskile SK — Superettan 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Superettan: Landskrona BoIS 1–0 Ljungskile SK