Landskrona BoIS 1–0 AFC Eskilstuna: Result & Stats

Landskrona BoIS

FT

1 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

AFC Eskilstuna

L. Olsson 77'

5/8/2021

Superettan · Round 5Landskrona Idrottsplats

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 75+ matches

Landskrona BoIS48%

×Draw25%

AFC Eskilstuna26%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Landskrona BoISExpected goals in this matchAFC Eskilstuna

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.58

1.10

Landskrona BoIS

1.58

AFC Eskilstuna

1.10

Landskrona BoIS creates 44% more chances

Season form · 98 home / 75 away

1.55

creates per match

1.00

1.21

allows per match

1.60

creates per match

Landskrona BoIS

1.55

AFC Eskilstuna

1.00

allows per match

Landskrona BoIS

1.21

AFC Eskilstuna

1.60

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Landskrona BoIS+0.00on par

AFC Eskilstuna+0.00on par

Total goals

Under50
Over50

Close call

Both teams score

Yes53
No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Landskrona BoIS ↓

AFC Eskilstuna →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–18%

0–24%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–112%

1–27%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

75%25%2.5

50%50%3.5

28%72%4.5

13%87%

Double chance

Landskrona BoIS or draw

74%

Landskrona BoIS or AFC Eskilstuna

75%

Draw or AFC Eskilstuna

52%

Winning margin

Landskrona BoIS wins by 2+

25%

AFC Eskilstuna wins by 2+

10%

Team goals

Landskrona BoIS 1+ goals

79%

Landskrona BoIS 2+ goals

47%

Landskrona BoIS 3+ goals

21%

AFC Eskilstuna 1+ goals

67%

AFC Eskilstuna 2+ goals

30%

AFC Eskilstuna 3+ goals

10%

Draw no bet

Landskrona BoIS (draw refunded)

65%

AFC Eskilstuna (draw refunded)

35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

41%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Landskrona BoIS at home — creates 1.55, concedes 1.21 · 98 matches

AFC Eskilstuna away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.60 · 75 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Landskrona BoIS attack 1.55 + AFC Eskilstuna defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.58

AFC Eskilstuna attack 1.00 + Landskrona BoIS defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.10

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Landskrona BoIS scores more

48%

level

25%

AFC Eskilstuna scores more

26%

Landskrona BoIS at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Landskrona BoIS will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

15'

Filip Olsson

39'

Filip Ottosson

65'

R. Eliasson-Hofsö← O. Petersson

65'

M. Heier← K. Jensen

73'

J. Manns← V. Fors

74'

K. Takahashi← I. Touré

74'

O. Jemal← A. Alsanati

76'

Robin Eliasson Hofso

77'

L. Olsson

80'

A. Coffey← M. Bazi

82'

P. Prudence← F. Ottosson

82'

P. Andersson← M. Ekvall

86'

C. Omeje← T. Hartzell

89'

J. Rapp← H. Ferhm

Possession

Shots

Statistics

LandskronaAFC

Overview

47%Possession53%

9Total Shots7

3Corners6

14Fouls14

Shots

9Total Shots7

3On Target2

6Off Target5

Passing

47%Possession53%

Goalkeeping

2Saves2

Discipline

14Fouls14

3Yellow Cards0

0Red Cards0

2Offsides0

Superettan: Landskrona BoIS 1–0 AFC Eskilstuna

Landskrona BoIS beat AFC Eskilstuna 1-0 in Superettan on May 8, 2021.

Goals: L. Olsson (77').

AFC Eskilstuna controlled possession (53%) and registered 7 shots to 9.

The match was played at Landskrona Idrottsplats in Landskrona.

Landskrona BoIS vs AFC Eskilstuna — Superettan 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Statistics

Superettan: Landskrona BoIS 1–0 AFC Eskilstuna