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Laktaši vs Famos Vojkovići — 1st League - RS 2019

Laktaši
Laktaši
FT
4 – 0
HT: 4 – 0
Famos Vojkovići
Famos Vojkovići
9/6/20251st League - RS1st League - RS · RS - 5Stadion Laktaša

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 66+ matches

Laktaši74%
×Draw17%
Famos Vojkovići9%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Laktaši
2.32
Famos Vojkovići
0.69

Laktaši creates 236% more chances

Season form · 66 home / 66 away

creates per match

Laktaši
2.70
Famos Vojkovići
0.73

allows per match

Laktaši
0.65
Famos Vojkovići
1.94

finishing

Laktaši+0.00on par
Famos Vojkovići+0.00on par

Total goals

57%Over
  • Over57
  • Under43

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

55%No
  • No55
  • Yes45

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Laktaši ↓

Famos Vojkovići →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–13%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–18%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–013%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–010%
3–17%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–06%
4–14%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (13%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
57%43%3.5
35%65%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

Laktaši or draw
91%
Laktaši or Famos Vojkovići
83%
Draw or Famos Vojkovići
26%

Winning margin

Laktaši wins by 2+
50%
Famos Vojkovići wins by 2+
2%

Team goals

Laktaši 1+ goals
90%
Laktaši 2+ goals
67%
Laktaši 3+ goals
40%
Famos Vojkovići 1+ goals
50%
Famos Vojkovići 2+ goals
15%
Famos Vojkovići 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Laktaši (draw refunded)
89%
Famos Vojkovići (draw refunded)
11%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Laktaši at home — creates 2.70, concedes 0.65 · 66 matches

Famos Vojkovići away — creates 0.73, concedes 1.94 · 66 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Laktaši attack 2.70 + Famos Vojkovići defence 1.94 → ÷2 → 2.32

Famos Vojkovići attack 0.73 + Laktaši defence 0.65 → ÷2 → 0.69

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 74%?"

Laktaši scores more
74%
level
17%
Famos Vojkovići scores more
9%

Laktaši at 74% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 74% does not mean "Laktaši will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Laktaši vs Famos Vojkovići

Laktaši beat Famos Vojkovići 4-0 in 1st League - RS on September 6, 2025.

The match was played at Stadion Laktaša in Laktaši.