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KVC Westerlo vs FC Bocholt — Friendlies Clubs 2026

KVC Westerlo
KVC Westerlo
FT
2 – 2
HT: 0 – 0
FC Bocholt
FC Bocholt
1/12/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

KVC Westerlo29%
×Draw22%
FC Bocholt49%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

KVC Westerlo
1.51
FC Bocholt
2.02

FC Bocholt creates 34% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 11 away

creates per match

KVC Westerlo
2.20
FC Bocholt
2.55

allows per match

KVC Westerlo
1.50
FC Bocholt
0.82

finishing

KVC Westerlo+0.00on par
FC Bocholt+0.00on par

Total goals

68%Over
  • Over68
  • Under32

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

68%Yes
  • Yes68
  • No32

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

KVC Westerlo ↓

FC Bocholt →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–16%
0–26%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–04%
1–19%
1–29%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
68%32%3.5
47%53%4.5
28%72%

Double chance

KVC Westerlo or draw
51%
KVC Westerlo or FC Bocholt
78%
Draw or FC Bocholt
71%

Winning margin

KVC Westerlo wins by 2+
13%
FC Bocholt wins by 2+
28%

Team goals

KVC Westerlo 1+ goals
78%
KVC Westerlo 2+ goals
44%
KVC Westerlo 3+ goals
19%
FC Bocholt 1+ goals
87%
FC Bocholt 2+ goals
60%
FC Bocholt 3+ goals
33%

Draw no bet

KVC Westerlo (draw refunded)
37%
FC Bocholt (draw refunded)
63%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
59%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

KVC Westerlo at home — creates 2.20, concedes 1.50 · 10 matches

FC Bocholt away — creates 2.55, concedes 0.82 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

KVC Westerlo attack 2.20 + FC Bocholt defence 0.82 → ÷2 → 1.51

FC Bocholt attack 2.55 + KVC Westerlo defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 2.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

KVC Westerlo scores more
29%
level
22%
FC Bocholt scores more
49%

FC Bocholt at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "FC Bocholt will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: KVC Westerlo 2–2 FC Bocholt

KVC Westerlo and FC Bocholt drew 2-2 in Friendlies Clubs on January 12, 2024.

The match was played at TBC in TBC.