Scoreo

Kuwait vs SingaporeFriendlies 2026

Kuwait
Kuwait
FT
20
HT: 10
Singapore
Singapore
6/1/2022FriendliesFriendlies · Friendlies 3Al Nahyan Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

Kuwait46%
×Draw26%
Singapore27%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Kuwait
1.46
Singapore
1.06

Kuwait creates 38% more chances

Season form · 26 home / 11 away

creates per match

Kuwait
1.27
Singapore
0.82

allows per match

Kuwait
1.31
Singapore
1.64

finishing

Kuwait+0.00on par
Singapore+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Under
  • Under54
  • Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kuwait

Singapore
0
1
2
3
4
0
008%
019%
025%
032%
040%
1
1012%
1112%
127%
132%
141%
2
209%
219%
225%
232%
240%
3
304%
314%
322%
331%
340%
4
402%
412%
421%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
46%54%3.5
25%75%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Kuwait or draw
73%
Kuwait or Singapore
74%
Draw or Singapore
54%

Winning margin

Kuwait wins by 2+
23%
Singapore wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Kuwait 1+ goals
77%
Kuwait 2+ goals
43%
Kuwait 3+ goals
18%
Singapore 1+ goals
65%
Singapore 2+ goals
29%
Singapore 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Kuwait (draw refunded)
63%
Singapore (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kuwait at homecreates 1.27, concedes 1.31 · 26 matches

Singapore awaycreates 0.82, concedes 1.64 · 11 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kuwait attack 1.27 + Singapore defence 1.64 → ÷2 → 1.46

Singapore attack 0.82 + Kuwait defence 1.31 → ÷2 → 1.06

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Kuwait scores more
46%
level
26%
Singapore scores more
27%

Kuwait at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Kuwait will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Kuwait
Singapore
V. Lavička
Manager: V. Lavička

Friendlies: Kuwait 2–0 Singapore

Kuwait beat Singapore 2-0 in Friendlies on June 1, 2022.

Goals: Fahad Hammoud Al Rashidi (39'), Yousef Nasser Al Sulaiman (87').

The match was played at Al Nahyan Stadium in Abu Dhabi.