Kufstein 0–0 Schwaz: Result & Stats

Kufstein

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Schwaz

6/1/2024

Regionalliga - West · West - 29Kufstein-Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 59+ matches

Kufstein38%

×Draw27%

Schwaz36%

✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.5%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 581,483 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

KufsteinExpected goals in this matchSchwaz

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.29

1.25

Kufstein

1.29

Schwaz

1.25

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 59 home / 63 away

1.02

creates per match

1.24

1.25

allows per match

1.57

creates per match

Kufstein

1.02

Schwaz

1.24

allows per match

Kufstein

1.25

Schwaz

1.57

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Kufstein+0.00on par

Schwaz+0.00on par

Total goals

Under53
Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

Yes52
No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kufstein ↓

Schwaz →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–110%

0–26%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–113%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–18%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

72%28%2.5

47%53%3.5

25%75%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Kufstein or draw

64%

Kufstein or Schwaz

73%

Draw or Schwaz

62%

Winning margin

Kufstein wins by 2+

17%

Schwaz wins by 2+

15%

Team goals

Kufstein 1+ goals

72%

Kufstein 2+ goals

37%

Kufstein 3+ goals

14%

Schwaz 1+ goals

71%

Schwaz 2+ goals

36%

Schwaz 3+ goals

13%

Draw no bet

Kufstein (draw refunded)

51%

Schwaz (draw refunded)

49%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

39%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kufstein at home — creates 1.02, concedes 1.25 · 59 matches

Schwaz away — creates 1.24, concedes 1.57 · 63 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kufstein attack 1.02 + Schwaz defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 1.29

Schwaz attack 1.24 + Kufstein defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Kufstein scores more

38%

level

27%

Schwaz scores more

36%

Kufstein at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Kufstein will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

46'

K. Kilic← D. Lamce

65'

B. Pichler← S. Karayün

74'

P. Delic← L. Danzl

80'

I. Jaúregui← S. Gavric

90'

V. Riedel← S. Lauf

Kufstein

Schwaz

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

46'▲K. Kilic←▼D. Lamce

65'▲B. Pichler←▼S. Karayün

80'▲I. Jaúregui←▼S. Gavric

90'▲V. Riedel←▼S. Lauf

Kufstein substitutes

KilicPichlerJaúreguiRiedelPoprzanovic

Manager: T. Löffler

74'▲P. Delic←▼L. Danzl

Schwaz substitutes

DelicDanzlJordanWeissenhoferLambaraa

Match Recap: Kufstein vs Schwaz

Kufstein and Schwaz drew 0-0 in Regionalliga - West on June 1, 2024.

The match was played at Kufstein-Arena in Kufstein.

Kufstein vs Schwaz — Regionalliga - West 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Kufstein vs Schwaz