Kuala Lumpur FA 2–1 Terengganu: Result & Stats

Kuala Lumpur FA

FT

2 – 1

HT: 0 – 1

Terengganu

2/15/2026

Malaysia Cup · Quarter-finalsKLFA Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Kuala Lumpur FA37%

×Draw25%

Terengganu38%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Kuala Lumpur FAExpected goals in this matchTerengganu

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.46

1.49

Kuala Lumpur FA

1.46

Terengganu

1.49

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 15 home / 21 away

1.53

creates per match

2.10

0.87

allows per match

1.38

creates per match

Kuala Lumpur FA

1.53

Terengganu

2.10

allows per match

Kuala Lumpur FA

0.87

Terengganu

1.38

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Kuala Lumpur FA+0.00on par

Terengganu+0.00on par

Total goals

Over56
Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes59
No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kuala Lumpur FA ↓

Terengganu →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–18%

0–26%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–111%

1–28%

1–34%

1–42%

2

2–06%

2–18%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–23%

3–31%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

79%21%2.5

56%44%3.5

34%66%4.5

18%82%

Double chance

Kuala Lumpur FA or draw

62%

Kuala Lumpur FA or Terengganu

75%

Draw or Terengganu

63%

Winning margin

Kuala Lumpur FA wins by 2+

17%

Terengganu wins by 2+

18%

Team goals

Kuala Lumpur FA 1+ goals

77%

Kuala Lumpur FA 2+ goals

43%

Kuala Lumpur FA 3+ goals

18%

Terengganu 1+ goals

77%

Terengganu 2+ goals

44%

Terengganu 3+ goals

19%

Draw no bet

Kuala Lumpur FA (draw refunded)

49%

Terengganu (draw refunded)

51%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

48%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kuala Lumpur FA at home — creates 1.53, concedes 0.87 · 15 matches

Terengganu away — creates 2.10, concedes 1.38 · 21 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kuala Lumpur FA attack 1.53 + Terengganu defence 1.38 → ÷2 → 1.46

Terengganu attack 2.10 + Kuala Lumpur FA defence 0.87 → ÷2 → 1.49

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Kuala Lumpur FA scores more

37%

level

25%

Terengganu scores more

38%

Terengganu at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Terengganu will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff