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Krylya Sovetov vs Radnicki NIS — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Krylya Sovetov
Krylya Sovetov
FT
3 – 0
Radnicki NIS
Radnicki NIS
6/30/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Stadion Michel Platini

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Krylya Sovetov42%
×Draw25%
Radnicki NIS33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Krylya Sovetov
1.55
Radnicki NIS
1.35

Krylya Sovetov creates 15% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 5 away

creates per match

Krylya Sovetov
1.30
Radnicki NIS
1.80

allows per match

Krylya Sovetov
0.90
Radnicki NIS
1.80

finishing

Krylya Sovetov+0.00on par
Radnicki NIS+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Over
  • Over55
  • Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Krylya Sovetov ↓

Radnicki NIS →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–17%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–112%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
79%21%2.5
55%45%3.5
33%67%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Krylya Sovetov or draw
67%
Krylya Sovetov or Radnicki NIS
75%
Draw or Radnicki NIS
58%

Winning margin

Krylya Sovetov wins by 2+
21%
Radnicki NIS wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Krylya Sovetov 1+ goals
79%
Krylya Sovetov 2+ goals
46%
Krylya Sovetov 3+ goals
20%
Radnicki NIS 1+ goals
74%
Radnicki NIS 2+ goals
39%
Radnicki NIS 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Krylya Sovetov (draw refunded)
56%
Radnicki NIS (draw refunded)
44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
47%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Krylya Sovetov at home — creates 1.30, concedes 0.90 · 10 matches

Radnicki NIS away — creates 1.80, concedes 1.80 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Krylya Sovetov attack 1.30 + Radnicki NIS defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 1.55

Radnicki NIS attack 1.80 + Krylya Sovetov defence 0.90 → ÷2 → 1.35

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Krylya Sovetov scores more
42%
level
25%
Radnicki NIS scores more
33%

Krylya Sovetov at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Krylya Sovetov will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Krylya Sovetov 3–0 Radnicki NIS

Krylya Sovetov beat Radnicki NIS 3-0 in Friendlies Clubs on June 30, 2021.

The match was played at Stadion Michel Platini in Stara Pazova.