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Krylia Sovetov vs FK Vozdovac — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Krylia Sovetov
Krylia Sovetov
CANC
13:00
FK Vozdovac
FK Vozdovac
1/24/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Krylia Sovetov46%
×Draw28%
FK Vozdovac26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Krylia Sovetov
1.35
FK Vozdovac
0.95

Krylia Sovetov creates 42% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 5 away

creates per match

Krylia Sovetov
1.30
FK Vozdovac
1.00

allows per match

Krylia Sovetov
0.90
FK Vozdovac
1.40

finishing

Krylia Sovetov+0.00on par
FK Vozdovac+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Under
  • Under60
  • Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

55%No
  • No55
  • Yes45

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Krylia Sovetov ↓

FK Vozdovac →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–110%
0–25%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
67%33%2.5
40%60%3.5
20%80%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Krylia Sovetov or draw
74%
Krylia Sovetov or FK Vozdovac
72%
Draw or FK Vozdovac
54%

Winning margin

Krylia Sovetov wins by 2+
22%
FK Vozdovac wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Krylia Sovetov 1+ goals
74%
Krylia Sovetov 2+ goals
39%
Krylia Sovetov 3+ goals
15%
FK Vozdovac 1+ goals
61%
FK Vozdovac 2+ goals
25%
FK Vozdovac 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Krylia Sovetov (draw refunded)
64%
FK Vozdovac (draw refunded)
36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
33%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Krylia Sovetov at home — creates 1.30, concedes 0.90 · 10 matches

FK Vozdovac away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.40 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Krylia Sovetov attack 1.30 + FK Vozdovac defence 1.40 → ÷2 → 1.35

FK Vozdovac attack 1.00 + Krylia Sovetov defence 0.90 → ÷2 → 0.95

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Krylia Sovetov scores more
46%
level
28%
FK Vozdovac scores more
26%

Krylia Sovetov at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Krylia Sovetov will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Krylia Sovetov vs FK Vozdovac — Match Preview

Krylia Sovetov face FK Vozdovac on January 24, 2024 in this Friendlies Clubs fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Krylia Sovetov host FK Vozdovac at TBC.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.