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Kristianstad W vs Häcken W — Damallsvenskan 2020

Kristianstad W
Kristianstad W
FT
2 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Häcken W
Häcken W
A. Johannsdottir 41'
B. Olsson 8'
3/29/2025DamallsvenskanDamallsvenskan · Round 2Kristianstad Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 58+ matches

Kristianstad W30%
×Draw24%
Häcken W47%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Kristianstad W
1.32
Häcken W
1.71

Häcken W creates 30% more chances

Season form · 80 home / 58 away

creates per match

Kristianstad W
2.01
Häcken W
2.28

allows per match

Kristianstad W
1.14
Häcken W
0.64

finishing

Kristianstad W+0.00on par
Häcken W+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kristianstad W ↓

Häcken W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–18%
0–27%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–06%
1–111%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–26%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
58%42%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Kristianstad W or draw
53%
Kristianstad W or Häcken W
76%
Draw or Häcken W
70%

Winning margin

Kristianstad W wins by 2+
13%
Häcken W wins by 2+
25%

Team goals

Kristianstad W 1+ goals
73%
Kristianstad W 2+ goals
38%
Kristianstad W 3+ goals
15%
Häcken W 1+ goals
82%
Häcken W 2+ goals
51%
Häcken W 3+ goals
24%

Draw no bet

Kristianstad W (draw refunded)
39%
Häcken W (draw refunded)
61%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
49%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kristianstad W at home — creates 2.01, concedes 1.14 · 80 matches

Häcken W away — creates 2.28, concedes 0.64 · 58 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kristianstad W attack 2.01 + Häcken W defence 0.64 → ÷2 → 1.32

Häcken W attack 2.28 + Kristianstad W defence 1.14 → ÷2 → 1.71

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Kristianstad W scores more
30%
level
24%
Häcken W scores more
47%

Häcken W at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Häcken W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

33
M. OlssonKristianstad WKristianstad W · G
9.2

Match Events

8'
B. Olsson↳ E. Alanen
23'
Tabitha Tindell
41'
A. Johannsdottir↳ G. Arnadottir
51'
Elin Rubensson
53'
C. Wickenheiser← E. Rubensson
53'
S. Sandbech← E. Byrnak
53'
M. Nilden← M. Jusu Bah
63'
Alexandra Jóhannsdóttir
63'
T. Sanden← E. Alanen
71'
Remy Siemsen
75'
P. Nystrom← J. Sorensen
81'
V. Persson← A. Nilsson
85'
A. Larsson← E. Ostlund

Possession

52%Kristianstad

Shots

6Kristianstad

Pass accuracy

50%Kristianstad

Statistics

KristianstadHäcken
Overview
52%Possession48%
6Total Shots19
1.47Expected Goals (xG)1.31
2Corners12
16Fouls15
Shots
6Total Shots19
4On Target8
0Off Target7
1Blocked4
6Inside Box13
0Outside Box6
Passing
52%Possession48%
379Total Passes343
275Accurate Passes250
73%Pass Accuracy73%
Goalkeeping
8Saves2
Discipline
16Fouls15
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
1Offsides3

Damallsvenskan: Kristianstad W 2–0 Häcken W

Kristianstad W beat Häcken W 2-0 in Damallsvenskan on March 29, 2025.

Goals: B. Olsson (8'), A. Johannsdottir (41').

Kristianstad W controlled possession (52%) and registered 6 shots to 19.

The match was played at Kristianstad Arena in Kristianstad.