Kraké 0–0 Bani Gansè: Result & Stats

Kraké

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Bani Gansè

3/14/2026

Championnat National · Round 20

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 33+ matches

Kraké42%

×Draw33%

Bani Gansè26%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

KrakéExpected goals in this matchBani Gansè

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.02

0.73

Kraké

1.02

Bani Gansè

0.73

Kraké creates 40% more chances

Season form · 33 home / 74 away

0.97

creates per match

0.74

0.73

allows per match

1.07

creates per match

Kraké

0.97

Bani Gansè

0.74

allows per match

Kraké

0.73

Bani Gansè

1.07

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Kraké+0.00on par

Bani Gansè+0.00on par

Total goals

Under74
Over26

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No67
Yes33

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kraké ↓

Bani Gansè →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–017%

0–113%

0–25%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–018%

1–113%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–17%

2–22%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–12%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (18%) · grid covers 100% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

83%17%1.5

52%48%2.5

26%74%3.5

10%90%4.5

3%97%

Double chance

Kraké or draw

74%

Kraké or Bani Gansè

67%

Draw or Bani Gansè

58%

Winning margin

Kraké wins by 2+

16%

Bani Gansè wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Kraké 1+ goals

64%

Kraké 2+ goals

27%

Kraké 3+ goals

8%

Bani Gansè 1+ goals

52%

Bani Gansè 2+ goals

17%

Bani Gansè 3+ goals

4%

Draw no bet

Kraké (draw refunded)

62%

Bani Gansè (draw refunded)

38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

20%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kraké at home — creates 0.97, concedes 0.73 · 33 matches

Bani Gansè away — creates 0.74, concedes 1.07 · 74 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kraké attack 0.97 + Bani Gansè defence 1.07 → ÷2 → 1.02

Bani Gansè attack 0.74 + Kraké defence 0.73 → ÷2 → 0.73

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Kraké scores more

42%

level

33%

Bani Gansè scores more

26%

Kraké at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Kraké will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff