Kosovo 0–0 Slovenia: Result & Stats | League #32

Kosovo

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Slovenia

10/10/2025

League #32 · Group Stage - 7Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Kosovo30%

×Draw30%

Slovenia40%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

KosovoExpected goals in this matchSlovenia

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.94

1.15

Kosovo

0.94

Slovenia

1.15

Slovenia creates 22% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 10 away

0.67

creates per match

0.80

1.50

allows per match

1.20

creates per match

Kosovo

0.67

Slovenia

0.80

allows per match

Kosovo

1.50

Slovenia

1.20

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Kosovo+0.00on par

Slovenia+0.00on par

Total goals

Under65
Over35

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No58
Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kosovo ↓

Slovenia →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–012%

0–114%

0–28%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–012%

1–113%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–05%

2–16%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–02%

3–12%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–00%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

88%12%1.5

62%38%2.5

35%65%3.5

16%84%4.5

6%94%

Double chance

Kosovo or draw

60%

Kosovo or Slovenia

70%

Draw or Slovenia

70%

Winning margin

Kosovo wins by 2+

11%

Slovenia wins by 2+

17%

Team goals

Kosovo 1+ goals

61%

Kosovo 2+ goals

24%

Kosovo 3+ goals

7%

Slovenia 1+ goals

68%

Slovenia 2+ goals

32%

Slovenia 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Kosovo (draw refunded)

42%

Slovenia (draw refunded)

58%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

28%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kosovo at home — creates 0.67, concedes 1.50 · 6 matches

Slovenia away — creates 0.80, concedes 1.20 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kosovo attack 0.67 + Slovenia defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 0.94

Slovenia attack 0.80 + Kosovo defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.15

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Kosovo scores more

30%

level

30%

Slovenia scores more

40%

Slovenia at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Slovenia will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

21

V. Drkusic

Slovenia · D

7.9

Match Events

20'

Svit Sešlar

46'

Timi Max Elšnik

48'

Fidan Aliti

50'

V. Berisha← E. Rexhbecaj

63'

Z. Vipotnik← N. Gradisar

71'

E. Janza← P. Stojanovic

71'

T. Horvat← S. Seslar

77'

M. Rashica← A. Rrahmani

77'

F. Asllani← V. Muriqi

79'

Leon Avdullahu

88'

E. Zhegrova← F. Muslija

88'

L. Sadriu← D. Gallapeni

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

KosovoSlovenia

Overview

39%Possession61%

5Total Shots11

0.54Expected Goals (xG)0.92

2Corners4

10Fouls12

Shots

5Total Shots11

0On Target2

3Off Target3

2Blocked6

4Inside Box9

1Outside Box2

Passing

39%Possession61%

364Total Passes582

295Accurate Passes508

81%Pass Accuracy87%

Goalkeeping

2Saves0

Discipline

10Fouls12

2Yellow Cards2

0Offsides1