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Korona Kielce vs FK Vozdovac — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce
CANC
00:00
FK Vozdovac
FK Vozdovac
1/20/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Korona Kielce44%
×Draw27%
FK Vozdovac30%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Korona Kielce
1.40
FK Vozdovac
1.10

Korona Kielce creates 27% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 6 away

creates per match

Korona Kielce
1.13
FK Vozdovac
1.33

allows per match

Korona Kielce
0.87
FK Vozdovac
1.67

finishing

Korona Kielce+0.00on par
FK Vozdovac+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Under
  • Under54
  • Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Korona Kielce ↓

FK Vozdovac →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–19%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–012%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
71%29%2.5
46%54%3.5
24%76%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Korona Kielce or draw
70%
Korona Kielce or FK Vozdovac
73%
Draw or FK Vozdovac
56%

Winning margin

Korona Kielce wins by 2+
21%
FK Vozdovac wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Korona Kielce 1+ goals
75%
Korona Kielce 2+ goals
41%
Korona Kielce 3+ goals
17%
FK Vozdovac 1+ goals
67%
FK Vozdovac 2+ goals
30%
FK Vozdovac 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Korona Kielce (draw refunded)
60%
FK Vozdovac (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Korona Kielce at home — creates 1.13, concedes 0.87 · 15 matches

FK Vozdovac away — creates 1.33, concedes 1.67 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Korona Kielce attack 1.13 + FK Vozdovac defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.40

FK Vozdovac attack 1.33 + Korona Kielce defence 0.87 → ÷2 → 1.10

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Korona Kielce scores more
44%
level
27%
FK Vozdovac scores more
30%

Korona Kielce at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Korona Kielce will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Korona Kielce face FK Vozdovac (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with Korona Kielce hosting FK Vozdovac. Match starts January 20, 2024. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Korona Kielce host FK Vozdovac at TBC.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.