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Kooteepee vs VJS — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Kooteepee
Kooteepee
CANC
11:00
VJS
VJS
3/9/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Kooteepee18%
×Draw35%
VJS47%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Kooteepee
0.50
VJS
1.00

VJS creates 100% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 4 away

creates per match

Kooteepee
0.75
VJS
1.50

allows per match

Kooteepee
0.50
VJS
0.25

finishing

Kooteepee+0.00on par
VJS+0.00on par

Total goals

81%Under
  • Under81
  • Over19

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

75%No
  • No75
  • Yes25

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kooteepee ↓

VJS →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–022%
0–122%
0–211%
0–34%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–111%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–03%
2–13%
2–21%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–00%
3–10%
3–20%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (22%) · grid covers 100% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
78%22%1.5
44%56%2.5
19%81%3.5
7%93%4.5
2%98%

Double chance

Kooteepee or draw
53%
Kooteepee or VJS
65%
Draw or VJS
82%

Winning margin

Kooteepee wins by 2+
4%
VJS wins by 2+
19%

Team goals

Kooteepee 1+ goals
39%
Kooteepee 2+ goals
9%
Kooteepee 3+ goals
1%
VJS 1+ goals
63%
VJS 2+ goals
26%
VJS 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Kooteepee (draw refunded)
28%
VJS (draw refunded)
72%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
14%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kooteepee at home — creates 0.75, concedes 0.50 · 4 matches

VJS away — creates 1.50, concedes 0.25 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kooteepee attack 0.75 + VJS defence 0.25 → ÷2 → 0.50

VJS attack 1.50 + Kooteepee defence 0.50 → ÷2 → 1.00

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Kooteepee scores more
18%
level
35%
VJS scores more
47%

VJS at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "VJS will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Kooteepee face VJS (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with Kooteepee hosting VJS. Match starts March 9, 2024. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Kooteepee host VJS at TBC.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.