Köln U19 0–0 Wuppertaler SV U19: Result & Stats

Köln U19

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Wuppertaler SV U19

12/10/2023

U19 Bundesliga · West - 14RheinEnergieSportpark 7

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 33+ matches

Köln U1973%

×Draw16%

Wuppertaler SV U1911%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Köln U19Expected goals in this matchWuppertaler SV U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.52

0.88

Köln U19

2.52

Wuppertaler SV U19

0.88

Köln U19 creates 186% more chances

Season form · 67 home / 33 away

2.37

creates per match

0.79

0.96

allows per match

2.67

creates per match

Köln U19

2.37

Wuppertaler SV U19

0.79

allows per match

Köln U19

0.96

Wuppertaler SV U19

2.67

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Köln U19+0.00on par

Wuppertaler SV U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over66
Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes54
No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Köln U19 ↓

Wuppertaler SV U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–13%

0–21%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–09%

1–18%

1–23%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–011%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–09%

3–18%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–06%

4–15%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (11%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

85%15%2.5

66%34%3.5

43%57%4.5

24%76%

Double chance

Köln U19 or draw

89%

Köln U19 or Wuppertaler SV U19

84%

Draw or Wuppertaler SV U19

27%

Winning margin

Köln U19 wins by 2+

50%

Wuppertaler SV U19 wins by 2+

3%

Team goals

Köln U19 1+ goals

92%

Köln U19 2+ goals

71%

Köln U19 3+ goals

45%

Wuppertaler SV U19 1+ goals

59%

Wuppertaler SV U19 2+ goals

22%

Wuppertaler SV U19 3+ goals

6%

Draw no bet

Köln U19 (draw refunded)

87%

Wuppertaler SV U19 (draw refunded)

13%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

46%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Köln U19 at home — creates 2.37, concedes 0.96 · 67 matches

Wuppertaler SV U19 away — creates 0.79, concedes 2.67 · 33 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Köln U19 attack 2.37 + Wuppertaler SV U19 defence 2.67 → ÷2 → 2.52

Wuppertaler SV U19 attack 0.79 + Köln U19 defence 0.96 → ÷2 → 0.88

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 73%?"

Köln U19 scores more

73%

level

16%

Wuppertaler SV U19 scores more

11%

Köln U19 at 73% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 73% does not mean "Köln U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

U19 Bundesliga: Köln U19 0–0 Wuppertaler SV U19

Köln U19 and Wuppertaler SV U19 drew 0-0 in U19 Bundesliga on December 10, 2023.

The match was played at RheinEnergieSportpark 7 in Köln.

Köln U19 vs Wuppertaler SV U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

U19 Bundesliga: Köln U19 0–0 Wuppertaler SV U19